OptionVotes
YES
NO
3339
450
OptionProbability
Released before November
Will have at least 300.000 articles
Will call "Clinton body count" a conspiracy theory
There will be obvious falsehoods
Negative about woke stuff
Right wing leaning
It will say something negative about Elon Musk
It will link to Wikipedia as a source for something other than information about Wikipedia itself
Manifold poll will say it's right wing
It will be positively biased with respect to Elon Musk
It will have a higher corpus sparsity index
It will exceed expectations
It will classify being transgender as mental health disorder
Someone will sue xAI/X for defamation because of the contents of an article
Will state the word "cis" is a slur
Will have an article listing Tesla Autopilot crashes
Manifold poll will say it's as good as Wikipedia
Will say that trans women are women
Will explicitly state that Israel is committing / has committed a genocide in Gaza
Will have an article about Vivian Wilson
Some new sufficiently interesting discovered truth (eg. "why do humans enjoy music")
Manifold poll will say it's a lot better than Wikipedia
Have a page on "Rationalussy"
Released on a Friday
100
99
98
94
89
88
87
85
74
66
57
42
32
23
13
12
8
7
6
3
0
1791
512
1078
909
222
45
1009
991
200
50
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