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Prediction markets for Avatar
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' become the highest-grossing movie of all time?
Jan 9, 2:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
1%chance
3212599
OptionVotes
11344
572
Will there be another Impeachment of a US President before James Cameron's Avatar 4 comes out?
Dec 12, 4:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
62.63%chance
202058
OptionVotes
1048
879
Will an AI avatar or virtual entity be appointed as White House Press Secretary before 2026?
Nov 14, 8:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5%chance
71316
OptionVotes
436
23
Will "avatarism" become a significantly notable movement by 2030?
Jun 6, 1:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.38%chance
30947
OptionVotes
1030
899
Will Dwarf Fortress still be receiving regular updates when James Cameron's Avatar 4 releases?
Jan 17, 5:03 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
80.02%chance
23775
OptionVotes
1321
878
Legal requirements around avatar race presentation in the US or EU before 2046
Jun 7, 9:16 PMJul 20, 3:59 AM
37.08%chance
14337
OptionVotes
1089
941
OptionProbability
88
77
39
9
3
Will an Avatar film still be the highest grossing film of all time when James Cameron passes away?
Mar 25, 3:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
25.99%chance
6151
OptionVotes
315
168
Will James Cameron ever direct another non-Avatar narrative feature film?
Jan 15, 7:56 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
70.84%chance
8128
OptionVotes
261
149
Facebook will ship a clearly traditional Avatar system on PC by mid 2026, no more forced ambiguous self-presentatation
Jan 10, 9:22 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
49.98%chance
380
OptionVotes
1000
1000
OptionVotes
117
86
Facebook's default group avatar configuration becomes more representative, by mid 2026
Feb 18, 8:46 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
52.09%chance
215
OptionVotes
104
96
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