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Prediction markets for Bash
Will Bashkortostan secede from the Russian Federation before the end of 2028?
Aug 7, 7:28 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM
2.53%chance
287107
OptionVotes
5225
701
OptionProbability
548
408
OptionVotes
2429
359
Will Asahifuji win the Juryo Yusho at the November 2026 Grand Sumo Tournament (Kyushu basho)
Sep 25, 9:14 PMNov 22, 11:59 PM
28.8%chance
51794
OptionVotes
11409
9371
Will there be a zensho-yusho (15-0) in Makuuchi in 2026? [sumo basho]
Jan 27, 7:08 PMNov 28, 11:59 PM
6.5%chance
81688
OptionVotes
2206
870
OptionVotes
190
53
AI "devops" #3: Will there be an AI that can manage a small cluster by 2030?
May 4, 9:13 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
82.49%chance
11460
OptionVotes
326
108
OptionVotes
166
60
OptionVotes
178
132
Which of the following will I accomplish in the USA 2026 TST cycle?
Nov 5, 12:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
245
OptionProbability
66
50
50
36
34
OptionProbability
62
38
Will Qiaochu Yuan and Brian Basham ever talk again by EOY 2026?
Jan 3, 11:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
40.98%chance
110
OptionVotes
60
42