Bela News

Trump Thanks Lukashenko for Prisoner Releases, Presses for Freedom of 1,300 More

10 months ago

Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?

Dec 31, 11:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

90.31%chance

3923243

OptionVotes

YES

2901

533

Will a significant event occur at the Swedish embassy in Belarus before 2031?

May 6, 11:59 PMMar 6, 10:59 PM

40.95%chance

43342

OptionVotes

YES

585

Will Belarus acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Mar 10, 12:16 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

7.33%chance

162210

OptionVotes

YES

768

125

Will Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?

Jan 2, 4:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

90.39%chance

121842

OptionVotes

YES

449

Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 2:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.74%chance

211093

OptionVotes

YES

323

Will Belarus join Russia willingly before the end of 2027?

May 11, 8:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.22%chance

18610

OptionVotes

YES

1268

924

Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2030?

Jan 5, 10:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.14%chance

12562

OptionVotes

YES

147

139

Will Russia annex Belarus until 2030?

Feb 21, 12:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21.61%chance

18463

OptionVotes

YES

1136

949

Who will be the next President of Belarus, after Lukashenko?

Oct 27, 6:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10264

OptionProbability

Other

Viktar Babaryka

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

-- State of Belarus will be substantially dissolved ---

Siarhiej Cichanouski

Andrey Dmitriyeu

-- office of President will be substantially dissolved ---

Siarhei Cherachen

Will Ukraine attack Belarus by the end of 2026

Jun 23, 9:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42%chance

5108

OptionVotes

YES

118

[Metaculus] Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

Nov 7, 2:30 PMFeb 2, 12:00 PM

39.8%chance

539

OptionVotes

YES

147

117

Belarus, Russia, Ukraine, Kazahstan - Entangled market.

Mar 14, 5:01 PMMar 21, 10:59 PM

43.36%chance

426

OptionVotes

YES

154

128

Latest stories

Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Belarus
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Trump Thanks Lukashenko for Prisoner Releases, Presses for Freedom of 1,300 More
Authors
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10 months ago

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Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?

Will a significant event occur at the Swedish embassy in Belarus before 2031?

Will Belarus acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?

Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2026?

Will Belarus join Russia willingly before the end of 2027?

Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2030?

Will Russia annex Belarus until 2030?

Who will be the next President of Belarus, after Lukashenko?

Will Ukraine attack Belarus by the end of 2026

[Metaculus] Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

Belarus, Russia, Ukraine, Kazahstan - Entangled market.

Latest stories

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