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Prediction markets for Bela
Will a significant event occur at the Swedish embassy in Belarus before 2031?
May 6, 11:59 PMMar 6, 10:59 PM
40.95%chance
33282
OptionVotes
585
585
Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?
Dec 31, 11:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
82.9%chance
331911
OptionVotes
1921
678
Will Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?
Jan 2, 4:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
83.83%chance
121632
OptionVotes
324
75
OptionVotes
247
217
OptionVotes
457
22
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2030?
Jan 5, 10:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
41.14%chance
12562
OptionVotes
147
139
Will Belarus join Russia willingly before the end of 2027?
May 11, 8:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
11.7%chance
17560
OptionVotes
1218
931
OptionVotes
1136
949
OptionProbability
27
25
20
9
7
6
4
3
[Metaculus] Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?
Nov 7, 2:30 PMFeb 2, 12:00 PM
39.8%chance
539
OptionVotes
147
117
Belarus, Russia, Ukraine, Kazahstan - Entangled market.
Mar 14, 5:01 PMMar 21, 10:59 PM
41.33%chance
321
OptionVotes
161
123
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