OptionVotes
YES
NO
194
52
2582
342
1274
785
OptionProbability
Gambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB
Congress explicitly intervenes to restore 100% deduction (example Rep Titus FAIR BET act enacted)
Mainstream pro gamblers move primarily to prediction markets for tax treatment
Administrative action classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Court ruling classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Legislation classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Major sports book restructures as a prediction market before 2026-01-01
Major sports book goes bankrupt because of OBBB by 2027-01-01
66
51
45
38
37
34
20
2029
2030
Not before 2035/Announced Cancelled
2031
2032
2033
2034
48
26
8
6
5
3
174
57
183
55
After 2045
2025-2029
2030-2034
2035-2039
2040-2044
33
17