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Prediction markets for Calls
Trump calls for deportation of Zohran Mamdani by EOY2025?
Jun 12, 2:23 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
23.45%chance
16420624
OptionVotes
3737
613
Will the Spaceballs sequel be called "Spaceballs 2: The Search for More Money"?
Jun 19, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
217503
OptionProbability
74
22
4
Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
Apr 20, 12:21 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
29.37%chance
796575
OptionVotes
2043
965
Will there be at least a "close call" with a powerful misaligned AI before 2100?
Apr 26, 3:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
82.71%chance
434708
OptionVotes
1375
847
Will Trump call for further regulation or banning of AR-15 style rifles by the end of 2025?
Jul 14, 6:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.13%chance
263046
OptionVotes
3978
1336
OptionVotes
1143
691
Before 2027, will I enjoy playing Minecraft w/ an AI while voice calling comparably to playing over call with a friend?
Dec 19, 6:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
32.6%chance
11686
OptionVotes
1438
696
OptionVotes
1434
697
Will an AAA-gamemaker create a video game/FPS of the Russia-Ukraine War by 2030? (eg Call of Duty/Battlefield Ukraine)
Oct 1, 6:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
25.66%chance
10319
OptionVotes
1087
953
My voice AI covertly acts as me in pharmacy calls by mid 2029
Jun 4, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
57%chance
9301
OptionVotes
1151
869
Will an unaligned AI or an aligned AI controlled by a malicious actor create a "wake-up call" for humanity on AI safety?
Apr 7, 6:09 PMApr 7, 10:59 PM
68.84%chance
10141
OptionVotes
1045
974
Will the top two candidates for the US 2028 election call the 2028 election "the most important"
Jul 27, 8:11 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM
45.94%chance
3110
OptionVotes
1088
925
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