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Prediction markets for Cannes
Will Cannabis be legal in Germany at the end of 2025?
Mar 14, 8:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
87.4%chance
2811016
OptionVotes
1202
932
Will you be able to buy Cannabis legally in Germany before 2026?
Nov 23, 8:24 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM
4.69%chance
577680
OptionVotes
3187
82
Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2026?
Mar 13, 6:01 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
1%chance
233017
OptionVotes
2175
3
Will the US Supreme Court reaffirm the ruling that generative AI cannot be awarded copyright by end of 2025?
Aug 19, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
19.02%chance
322151
OptionVotes
1474
843
Will Mexico formally legalize cannabis by the end of 2025?
Jan 16, 7:09 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
14.89%chance
262020
OptionVotes
2397
372
Will Trump sign any cannabis-related legislation during his second term?
Dec 6, 2:40 AMJan 22, 5:59 AM
58.11%chance
251724
OptionVotes
1178
849
Will a right to digital privacy be established in the USA saying your AI cannot be used against you in a court of law?
May 6, 11:40 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM
10%chance
251703
OptionVotes
1530
1005
Will Aileen Cannon be confirmed to the Supreme Court by 2029?
Jul 15, 4:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
18.27%chance
141455
OptionVotes
2115
473
Will Denmark legalize high TCH cannabis by the end of 2025
Apr 3, 12:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
11.52%chance
141389
OptionVotes
2210
702
SOAI#6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI
Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 13, 12:06 AM
23.19%chance
151016
OptionVotes
1820
549
Will the first instance of an AI breakout that cannot be brought back under human control result in more than 1,000,000 deaths?
Jul 21, 4:28 PMDec 29, 4:59 AM
20.72%chance
18273
OptionVotes
1146
936
Will "Do not hand off what you cannot pick up" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Nov 13, 2:41 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
13.32%chance
271
OptionVotes
1051
992