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iOS 26 Beta Restores Watch Blood Oxygen, Expands AI as iPhone 17 Rumors Grow

9 months ago

Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?

May 19, 5:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.98%chance

1237577

OptionVotes

YES

3011

2569

[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?

Nov 14, 2:24 PMJan 2, 7:00 PM

21.91%chance

141333

OptionVotes

YES

177

152

The USA loses an aircraft carrier anytime til EOY 2028

Jul 13, 5:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.75%chance

12857

OptionVotes

YES

1420

915

Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033

Jan 1, 11:35 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

17.16%chance

21555

OptionVotes

YES

1191

938

The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2026

Jul 13, 5:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8%chance

6365

OptionVotes

YES

218

Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?

Mar 13, 1:20 PMMar 20, 3:59 PM

78.73%chance

7175

OptionVotes

YES

355

126

[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?

Nov 14, 2:28 PMJan 3, 4:00 AM

41.39%chance

10159

OptionVotes

YES

113

106

Will hypersonic missile(s) sink a US aircraft carrier by 2030?

May 19, 4:38 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

12.19%chance

8130

OptionVotes

YES

212

121

Will any aircraft carrier be lost at sea before 2036?

May 23, 9:19 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

41.71%chance

665

OptionVotes

YES

Will China commission a fourth conventional aircraft carrier before 2030?

Jan 1, 6:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

64.57%chance

461

OptionVotes

YES

135

Will the US Navy commission more than five Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Sep 30, 1:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

47.39%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

Will the US Navy commission more than four Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Sep 30, 1:18 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

50.99%chance

OptionVotes

YES

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Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?

[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?

The USA loses an aircraft carrier anytime til EOY 2028

Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033

The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2026

Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?

[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?

Will hypersonic missile(s) sink a US aircraft carrier by 2030?

Will any aircraft carrier be lost at sea before 2036?

Will China commission a fourth conventional aircraft carrier before 2030?

Will the US Navy commission more than five Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Will the US Navy commission more than four Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Latest stories

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