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Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?
May 19, 5:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.33%chance
1187120
OptionVotes
3051
2348
OptionVotes
569
18
[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?
Nov 14, 2:24 PMJan 2, 7:00 PM
22.46%chance
121296
OptionVotes
173
153
Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033
Jan 1, 11:35 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM
18.56%chance
19452
OptionVotes
1104
957
The USA loses an aircraft carrier anytime til EOY 2028
Jul 13, 5:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
15.95%chance
10328
OptionVotes
1058
973
OptionVotes
308
48
OptionVotes
241
72
[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?
Nov 14, 2:28 PMJan 3, 4:00 AM
33.1%chance
9144
OptionVotes
139
91
Will hypersonic missile(s) sink a US aircraft carrier by 2030?
May 19, 4:38 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
9.29%chance
7123
OptionVotes
271
114
OptionVotes
90
89
Will the US Navy commission more than five Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?
Sep 30, 1:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
47.39%chance
120
OptionVotes
70
70
Will the US Navy commission more than four Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?
Sep 30, 1:18 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
50.99%chance
11
OptionVotes
71
69
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