Carrier News

iOS 26 Beta Restores Watch Blood Oxygen, Expands AI as iPhone 17 Rumors Grow

7 months ago

Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?

May 19, 5:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.54%chance

1227327

OptionVotes

YES

3058

2319

Will Nauru acquire an aircraft carrier before 2031?

Feb 18, 11:53 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

1%chance

61416

OptionVotes

YES

1400

[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?

Nov 14, 2:24 PMJan 2, 7:00 PM

21.91%chance

141333

OptionVotes

YES

177

152

The USA loses an aircraft carrier through mid 2026

Jan 2, 8:10 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

16.47%chance

18862

OptionVotes

YES

225

Who will France’s next aircraft carrier be named after?

Apr 9, 4:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9523

OptionProbability

France Libre

Other

Richelieu

Jeanne d'Arc

François Mitterand

Simone Veil

Leclerc

Darlan

Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033

Jan 1, 11:35 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

18.79%chance

20455

OptionVotes

YES

1091

960

The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2026

Jul 13, 5:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8%chance

6365

OptionVotes

YES

218

The USA loses an aircraft carrier anytime til EOY 2028

Jul 13, 5:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18%chance

11353

OptionVotes

YES

997

938

Will China launch nine aircraft carriers by the end of 2035?

Dec 24, 7:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.32%chance

8303

OptionVotes

YES

135

Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?

Mar 13, 1:20 PMMar 20, 3:59 PM

78.73%chance

7175

OptionVotes

YES

355

126

What will China's fourth aircraft carrier be named?

Nov 14, 9:22 AMDec 31, 9:10 AM

4130

OptionProbability

Jiangsu

Guangdong

Other

Zhejiang

Hebei

Shanghai

Xianggang (Hong Kong)

Xinjiang

Taiwan

Will China commission a fourth conventional aircraft carrier before 2030?

Jan 1, 6:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

54.75%chance

336

OptionVotes

YES

110

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Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?

Will Nauru acquire an aircraft carrier before 2031?

[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?

The USA loses an aircraft carrier through mid 2026

Who will France’s next aircraft carrier be named after?

Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033

The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2026

The USA loses an aircraft carrier anytime til EOY 2028

Will China launch nine aircraft carriers by the end of 2035?

Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?

What will China's fourth aircraft carrier be named?

Will China commission a fourth conventional aircraft carrier before 2030?

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