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Prediction markets for Census
The next census in 2030 will show an increase in United States birth rate.
Sep 30, 3:40 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
37.04%chance
141850
OptionVotes
1142
599
How many seats in the U.S. House of Representatives will Texas lose/gain after the next U.S. census?
Feb 28, 6:18 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM
71455
OptionProbability
59
24
8
4
3
2
Will Trump force the USA to take a new census by the end of 2028?
Aug 14, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.24%chance
12682
OptionVotes
1048
466
2030: % of "working age adults w/ serious difficulty remembering, making decisions" in US Census Survey? (long covid)
Jan 22, 1:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11572
OptionProbability
47
43
8
2
OptionVotes
1317
759
Will more than 40% of respondents identify as having “No religion” in the 2041 UK Census?
Apr 3, 5:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
92.44%chance
7310
OptionVotes
352
53
Will the population of Lahaina, Hawaii, exceed 10,000 in the 2030 census?
Aug 30, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
48.72%chance
8224
OptionVotes
1294
971
Will Kansas City Missouri have a population of over 550 thousand people in 2030 as reported by the US Census?
Nov 29, 4:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
48.61%chance
5119
OptionVotes
131
77
Will the 2030 NYC census be less than the 2020 census?
Aug 14, 12:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.48%chance
695
OptionVotes
109
91
Will Australia have more than 30 million people according to the 2031 Australian Census?
Feb 26, 4:02 PMOct 15, 1:29 PM
74.8%chance
482
OptionVotes
220
95
Will there be at least 800 people living in Dildo by next census?
Jan 7, 4:30 AMSep 2, 2:59 AM
39.55%chance
442
OptionVotes
85
58
OptionProbability
23
20
11
11
11
11
11
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