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Prediction markets for ChatGPT Go
If Trump is elected, will Biden go to prison for treason related to his border policies?
Oct 23, 5:07 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
2.42%chance
469617
OptionVotes
6356
157
Will another "ChatGPT moment" or AI panic happen before an AI bust?
Aug 22, 9:02 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
433318
OptionProbability
49
47
4
4. Web agents will go mainstream, becoming the next major killer application in consumer AI.
Dec 27, 8:15 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM
54.88%chance
242972
OptionVotes
1103
907
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
82.06%chance
372697
OptionVotes
1928
630
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
Aug 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM
57.53%chance
391946
OptionVotes
1165
674
2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today
Mar 11, 12:07 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
88.83%chance
141045
OptionVotes
1519
876
Will Google Gemini pass ChatGPT in the App Store by EOY?
Mar 27, 11:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.7%chance
16494
OptionVotes
305
33
Will Grammarly go bankrupt/defunct before the end of 2028?
Mar 13, 7:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
40.63%chance
19382
OptionVotes
1067
946
Will Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?
Mar 27, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.91%chance
11312
OptionVotes
367
27
OptionProbability
80
54
50
50
50
48
Will chatGPT (or an analogue) be able to query the entire text of anyone's entire Goodreads collection list by EOY 2027?
Feb 22, 2:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
66.22%chance
120
OptionVotes
90
56
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