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Prediction markets for China Coast Guard
China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026
Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.11%chance
333262
OptionVotes
3365
297
China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026
Nov 23, 7:58 AMDec 15, 7:54 AM
6.85%chance
18640
OptionVotes
369
27
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
17.51%chance
14316
OptionVotes
232
58
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?
Oct 24, 7:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
84.19%chance
7272
OptionVotes
205
40
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?
Oct 24, 7:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
45.03%chance
9206
OptionVotes
119
100
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
83.56%chance
5171
OptionVotes
235
57
Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027?
Mar 29, 1:43 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
33.23%chance
10162
OptionVotes
142
71
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?
Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
19.84%chance
6154
OptionVotes
220
55
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?
Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
83.17%chance
5140
OptionVotes
156
28
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?
Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
43.51%chance
895
OptionVotes
90
87
Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2027?
Aug 27, 3:27 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
55.45%chance
350
OptionVotes
112
90
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