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Chinese Warship Hits Own Coast Guard in Scarborough Shoal Pursuit
Authors
75
9 months ago
Prediction markets for China Coast Guard
China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026
Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.4%chance
252024
OptionVotes
2258
443
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?
Mar 23, 6:32 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
70.01%chance
15481
OptionVotes
997
957
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?
Mar 23, 6:31 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
65.91%chance
16384
OptionVotes
1104
925
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
20%chance
13291
OptionVotes
213
62
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?
Oct 24, 7:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
88.77%chance
6265
OptionVotes
251
33
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?
Oct 24, 7:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
47.7%chance
8200
OptionVotes
113
105
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?
Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
19.84%chance
6154
OptionVotes
220
55
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?
Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
83.17%chance
5140
OptionVotes
156
28
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
78.05%chance
4129
OptionVotes
193
67
Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027?
Mar 29, 1:43 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
36.64%chance
4117
OptionVotes
132
76
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?
Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
40.24%chance
790
OptionVotes
94
85
Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2027?
Aug 27, 3:27 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
61.19%chance
240
OptionVotes
126
80
Latest stories
Latest stories
- Chinese Warship Hits Own Coast Guard in Scarborough Shoal PursuitAuthors759 months ago