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Prediction markets for Chinese EV
Will the EU impose punitive tariffs on Chinese electric cars before 2030?
Sep 13, 9:37 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
93.03%chance
332800
OptionVotes
2957
675
A Chinese car is one of the top 5 best selling passenger car models in Canada in 2026
Jan 16, 9:52 PMJan 16, 11:59 PM
13.76%chance
19685
OptionVotes
1283
1035
Did the "Chinese spy chip" reported by Bloomberg ever exist?
Aug 10, 2:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
26.99%chance
23555
OptionVotes
1147
931
Will there be evidence of at least 5000 mixed Chinese-Africans born in Africa through 2030?
Sep 28, 8:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
68.49%chance
17551
OptionVotes
1138
919
OptionVotes
1153
808
Will Hasan wear his Mao / Chinese suit at another public event by the end of 2026?
Jul 22, 6:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
79.94%chance
7428
OptionVotes
200
50
Will a US open-weights LLM outrank every Chinese open-weights LLM on LMArena at the end of 2027?
May 31, 5:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.85%chance
7171
OptionVotes
224
58
When will the first Chinese branded EV be sold in the United States?
Aug 5, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7146
OptionProbability
87
76
59
41
34
33
13
Mandarin Chinese translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?
Oct 4, 3:22 PMJan 1, 4:20 PM
1110
OptionProbability
32
17
17
17
8
8
OptionVotes
109
109
Will Xpeng (chinese EV maker) go bankrupt before 2030?
Sep 22, 11:40 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
36.86%chance
237
OptionVotes
94
51
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