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Xpeng and NIO Surge in New York on Earnings Optimism
Authors
4
10 months ago
Prediction markets for Chinese EV
Will the EU impose punitive tariffs on Chinese electric cars before 2030?
Sep 13, 9:37 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
92.84%chance
322779
OptionVotes
2894
680
A Chinese car is one of the top 5 best selling passenger car models in Canada in 2026
Jan 16, 9:52 PMJan 16, 11:59 PM
13.98%chance
18665
OptionVotes
1263
1038
Did the "Chinese spy chip" reported by Bloomberg ever exist?
Aug 10, 2:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
26.99%chance
23555
OptionVotes
1147
931
Will there be evidence of at least 5000 mixed Chinese-Africans born in Africa through 2030?
Sep 28, 8:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
68.49%chance
17551
OptionVotes
1138
919
OptionVotes
1153
808
Mandarin Chinese translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?
Oct 4, 3:22 PMJan 1, 4:20 PM
1110
OptionProbability
32
17
17
17
8
8
OptionVotes
109
109
Will a US open-weights LLM outrank every Chinese open-weights LLM on LMArena at the end of 2027?
May 31, 5:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.91%chance
656
OptionVotes
124
87
Chinese go/baduk/weiqi player is proven to be cheating in live event by mid 2026
Feb 26, 9:49 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
39.85%chance
450
OptionVotes
148
97
Will Xpeng (chinese EV maker) go bankrupt before 2030?
Sep 22, 11:40 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
36.86%chance
237
OptionVotes
94
51
Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on June 30, 2027?
Apr 7, 2:27 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM
37.06%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
80
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