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Top stories

Israeli Strike Hits Gaza’s Sole Catholic Church, Killing Two

Israeli Strike Hits Gaza’s Sole Catholic Church, Killing Two

Authors

181

16 days ago

Prediction markets for Christians

Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?

Dec 30, 8:07 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

3.11%chance

181407616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2066

979

Will Aella convert to sexually conservative Christianity by the end of [year]?

Jul 22, 2:59 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

612195

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2024

1

1

1

0

Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?

Dec 30, 6:37 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

1.83%chance

5211172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2075

932

Will Elon Musk say he is a Christian before 2029?

Feb 12, 11:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

17.55%chance

398099

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2167

461

Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2026?

Dec 31, 9:09 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.8%chance

236399

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4032

248

Will the first ASI proclaim Christianity true?

Feb 10, 1:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

6.03%chance

492337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1536

921

Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030

Aug 15, 2:26 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

15%chance

112280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

58.35%chance

441723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1113

786

[Metaculus] Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negot... for Germany before 2030?

Mar 3, 3:42 AMJan 1, 11:00 PM

33%chance

141139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

250

249

Is America on the brink of a Christian revival?

May 1, 1:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.8%chance

12558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1253

974

Will there have been a new president who isn't a Protestant or non denominational Christian by Inauguration Day 2045?

Jul 23, 6:14 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

47.03%chance

9327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

83

Will the first person to walk on Mars be a Christian?

Apr 7, 5:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.6%chance

672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

154

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 17, 2025
Jul 17, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Israeli Strike Hits Gaza’s Sole Catholic Church, Killing Two
Authors
181
16 days ago

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