Christmas News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Christmas
How many Spotify listens will 'All I Want for Christmas is You' have on Christmas 2029?
Nov 11, 5:53 AMDec 25, 11:59 PM
72340
OptionProbability
39
26
21
6
6
2
1
Will Nestle Fix their Quality Street "Chocolates" and Import them back into Australia from UK again by Christmas 2026?
Jan 16, 8:12 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM
11.53%chance
41186
OptionVotes
3011
2751
Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
May 18, 7:10 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM
18%chance
11642
OptionVotes
1163
936
Will the public know before christmas 2032 that either Vladimir Putin or Xi Jinping has received an organ transplant?
Sep 3, 8:45 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM
41.49%chance
8608
OptionVotes
1188
842
OptionVotes
259
39
In what year will All I Want For Christmas Is You by Mariah Carey lose the streak of reaching #1 song in December?
Mar 25, 4:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
9399
OptionProbability
29
15
13
10
9
9
9
8
United Kingdom (or successor) has written codified constitution by Christmas Eve midnight 2034?
Sep 16, 7:31 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM
9.6%chance
6233
OptionVotes
307
33
Will All I Want For Christmas is You by Mariah Carey reach #1 song on the Hot 100 in December of 2037?
Mar 25, 4:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
69.05%chance
5189
OptionVotes
250
87
Will US refuse gold repatriation before Christmas Eve midnight 2028?
Oct 22, 7:20 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM
33.17%chance
570
OptionVotes
142
70
Trump challenges War Powers Resolution before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?
Aug 19, 5:30 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM
51.94%chance
443
OptionVotes
104
96
OptionVotes
106
95
Senate or Congressional hearings dealing specifically/exclusively with Wikipedia/WMF by UTC 23:59 Christmas Eve 2027?
Oct 7, 4:06 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM
58.2%chance
218
OptionVotes
118
85