Claude AI News

Anthropic Settles Authors’ Suit Alleging Pirated Books Fueled Claude AI

1 year ago

Will Amanda Askell still be a power at Anthropic, EOY 2027?

Feb 17, 4:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.74%chance

245151781

OptionVotes

YES

1869

535

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.67%chance

8149972

OptionVotes

YES

28379

3002

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Jun 16, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.63%chance

2733820

OptionVotes

YES

24158

4139

When will a Claude model think faster than its Pokemon character can take steps?

Dec 26, 9:30 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

2331706

OptionProbability

January 2029 or earlier

June 2028 or earlier

January 2028 or earlier

June 2027 or earlier

January 2027 or earlier

June 2026 or earlier

Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?

Jun 12, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.64%chance

226982

OptionVotes

YES

3477

288

Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027?

Aug 6, 8:03 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

22.94%chance

506840

OptionVotes

YES

5436

3015

Will the first AGI be a large language model?

Apr 18, 4:09 PMFeb 1, 3:59 PM

63.39%chance

696760

OptionVotes

YES

1483

342

Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?

Aug 30, 6:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.01%chance

172834

OptionVotes

YES

1062

942

Who will Claude 7 name as having the most significant contribution to AI alignment?

Jul 3, 7:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10337

OptionProbability

Other

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Paul Christiano

Chris Olah

Nick Bostrom

Dario Amodei

Did the release of Claude 3 help reduce AI x-risk?

Mar 6, 11:13 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

59.58%chance

9226

OptionVotes

YES

175

109

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

6211

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

How does the news about Claude 4 using tool use to narc on its user change your AI endgame predictions?

May 22, 10:18 PM

110

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Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Law
AI Modeling
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Anthropic Settles Authors’ Suit Alleging Pirated Books Fueled Claude AI
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1 year ago

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Will Amanda Askell still be a power at Anthropic, EOY 2027?

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

When will a Claude model think faster than its Pokemon character can take steps?

Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?

Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027?

Will the first AGI be a large language model?

Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?

Who will Claude 7 name as having the most significant contribution to AI alignment?

Did the release of Claude 3 help reduce AI x-risk?

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

How does the news about Claude 4 using tool use to narc on its user change your AI endgame predictions?

Latest stories

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