Claude AI News

Anthropic Settles Authors’ Suit Alleging Pirated Books Fueled Claude AI

1 year ago

Will Amanda Askell still be a power at Anthropic, EOY 2027?

Feb 17, 4:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.06%chance

251152446

OptionVotes

YES

1783

561

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.55%chance

8250361

OptionVotes

YES

28550

2982

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Jun 16, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.7%chance

3134762

OptionVotes

YES

25099

3984

When will a Claude model think faster than its Pokemon character can take steps?

Dec 26, 9:30 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

2333334

OptionProbability

January 2029 or earlier

June 2028 or earlier

January 2028 or earlier

June 2027 or earlier

January 2027 or earlier

June 2026 or earlier

Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027?

Aug 6, 8:03 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

24.05%chance

587915

OptionVotes

YES

5483

2860

Will there be a massive internet outage before 2028?

Oct 21, 1:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.53%chance

356596

OptionVotes

YES

11161

8960

Who will Claude 7 name as having the most significant contribution to AI alignment?

Jul 3, 7:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11340

OptionProbability

Other

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Paul Christiano

Nick Bostrom

Chris Olah

Dario Amodei

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

7302

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

Did the release of Claude 3 help reduce AI x-risk?

Mar 6, 11:13 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

59.58%chance

9226

OptionVotes

YES

175

109

Which AI coding agent repo gains the most GitHub stars by Nov 27, 2026: opencode, Claude Code, Codex or Gemini CLI?

Oct 27, 12:02 PMNov 27, 11:59 PM

361

OptionProbability

opencode

Claude Code

Codex CLI

Gemini CLI

What will the top score on Epoch AI's Chess Puzzles benchmark be on November 30, 2026?

Nov 1, 4:26 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Below 78%

78% to below 82%

82% to below 88%

88% or higher

How does the news about Claude 4 using tool use to narc on its user change your AI endgame predictions?

May 22, 10:18 PM

110

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Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
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Anthropic Settles Authors’ Suit Alleging Pirated Books Fueled Claude AI
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1 year ago

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Will Amanda Askell still be a power at Anthropic, EOY 2027?

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

When will a Claude model think faster than its Pokemon character can take steps?

Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027?

Will there be a massive internet outage before 2028?

Who will Claude 7 name as having the most significant contribution to AI alignment?

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Did the release of Claude 3 help reduce AI x-risk?

Which AI coding agent repo gains the most GitHub stars by Nov 27, 2026: opencode, Claude Code, Codex or Gemini CLI?

What will the top score on Epoch AI's Chess Puzzles benchmark be on November 30, 2026?

How does the news about Claude 4 using tool use to narc on its user change your AI endgame predictions?

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