Claude AI News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Claude AI
Will Amanda Askell still be a power at Anthropic, EOY 2027?
Feb 17, 4:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
77.74%chance
245151781
OptionVotes
1869
535
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10.67%chance
8149972
OptionVotes
28379
3002
Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?
Jun 16, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.63%chance
2733820
OptionVotes
24158
4139
When will a Claude model think faster than its Pokemon character can take steps?
Dec 26, 9:30 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM
2331706
OptionProbability
65
56
50
29
9
0
Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?
Jun 12, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
7.64%chance
226982
OptionVotes
3477
288
Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027?
Aug 6, 8:03 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM
22.94%chance
506840
OptionVotes
5436
3015
OptionVotes
1483
342
Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?
Aug 30, 6:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
47.01%chance
172834
OptionVotes
1062
942
Who will Claude 7 name as having the most significant contribution to AI alignment?
Jul 3, 7:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10337
OptionProbability
49
16
10
9
9
9
OptionVotes
175
109
OptionProbability
70
20
10
Latest stories
Latest stories