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Prediction markets for Clipper
OptionProbability
20
20
14
12
6
6
5
4
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
97
96
92
91
90
89
87
83
82
81
81
80
77
67
65
58
47
46
43
38
28
27
24
16
14
11
7
7
6
4
OptionProbability
22
16
12
8
7
6
6
4
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
🏀 NBA: Which team will be next to win its first NBA Championship?
Dec 30, 11:23 PMJul 2, 5:59 AM
345446
OptionProbability
39
11
9
8
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
OptionProbability
16
16
13
9
5
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
17
16
11
8
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will NASA's Europa Clipper discover organic compounds either in plumes or on the surface?
Oct 18, 1:06 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM
81.74%chance
191638
OptionVotes
2116
473
Will NASA's Europa Clipper confirm liquid water under the ice?
Oct 18, 1:02 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM
76.55%chance
11959
OptionVotes
1807
553
Will the Europa Clipper mission last at least 4 years after arriving at Jupiter?
Aug 31, 7:42 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM
80.29%chance
9445
OptionVotes
225
141
OptionProbability
78
73
68
68
58
57
38
22
15
OptionProbability
12
11
7
5
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
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