conflict News

Former Biden Adviser Jake Sullivan Supports Arms Embargo on Israel Amid Gaza Conflict and Ceasefire Collapse; Senators Criticize Syria Strikes

11 months ago

Which of these conflicts will turn into a hot war in 2026?

Feb 25, 4:47 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

7959269

OptionProbability

Insurgencies in Iran

United States vs. Iran

Insurgencies in Pakistan

Iraqi Conflict

Insurgencies in India

India vs. Pakistan

Kurdish Nationalist Conflicts

China vs. Taiwan

Russian Civil Conflict

United States Civil Conflict

100

Will 5,000+ Gazans starve to death as a result of the current conflict?

Mar 19, 2:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9%chance

12854309

OptionVotes

YES

2049

822

Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)

Jan 15, 2:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

62%chance

8742716

OptionVotes

YES

1459

520

Will India settle their Kashmir conflict with Pakistan before January 1st 2035?

Nov 27, 5:20 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

26.47%chance

4426120

OptionVotes

YES

3163

1349

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.24%chance

3513953

OptionVotes

YES

9603

3111

Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

Jan 29, 10:42 AMDec 29, 12:59 AM

30.61%chance

5911564

OptionVotes

YES

1272

848

Military conflict between the US and Cuba before 2028?

Jan 9, 3:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.56%chance

345236

OptionVotes

YES

1806

530

US and Mexico engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029

Jan 4, 7:50 PMJan 21, 12:00 AM

12.52%chance

134737

OptionVotes

YES

2644

378

Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars?

Apr 15, 4:32 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

33.17%chance

212343

OptionVotes

YES

1009

984

Will Trump have a public conflict with FEMA during his 2nd term?

Nov 9, 10:18 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

71.12%chance

9657

OptionVotes

YES

1569

637

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Oct 10, 1:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60%chance

13389

OptionVotes

YES

1044

907

Will the number of conflicts involving AI-powered autonomous weapons systems rise by at least 50% within next 10 years?

Apr 9, 9:30 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

76.15%chance

12270

OptionVotes

YES

1232

880

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Middle East
War
US Foreign Policy
Former Biden Adviser Jake Sullivan Supports Arms Embargo on Israel Amid Gaza Conflict and Ceasefire Collapse; Senators Criticize Syria Strikes
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11 months ago

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Prediction markets for conflict

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Which of these conflicts will turn into a hot war in 2026?

Will 5,000+ Gazans starve to death as a result of the current conflict?

Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)

Will India settle their Kashmir conflict with Pakistan before January 1st 2035?

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

Military conflict between the US and Cuba before 2028?

US and Mexico engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029

Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars?

Will Trump have a public conflict with FEMA during his 2nd term?

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Will the number of conflicts involving AI-powered autonomous weapons systems rise by at least 50% within next 10 years?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram