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Prediction markets for conflict

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

Jan 22, 8:13 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.11%chance

10262433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20413

3423

Will the death toll in the current Israel-Palestinian conflict reach 100,000?

Oct 22, 5:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.36%chance

5619635

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1222

571

Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

Jan 29, 10:42 AMDec 29, 12:59 AM

24.45%chance

519734

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1533

749

Will Israel be victorious in the current Gaza-Israel conflict? [According to Wikipedia]

Oct 10, 2:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.42%chance

368684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1417

446

US and Mexico engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029

Jan 4, 7:50 PMJan 21, 12:00 AM

12%chance

124728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2708

369

Will 5,000+ Gazans starve to death as a result of the current conflict?

Mar 19, 2:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13%chance

394325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1379

869

Will the Ukraine war enter a state of "frozen conflict" by EOY 2025?

Feb 23, 8:56 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

28.87%chance

352122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1079

950

NATO joins USA-Iran conflict before 2026?

Jun 22, 10:25 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

14.49%chance

191990

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2430

412

Will the US sustain more than 100 casualties in 2025 as a result of the conflict with Iran?

Jun 22, 2:33 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

7.98%chance

221073

OptionVotes

YES

NO

340

29

Will India settle their Kashmir conflict with Pakistan before January 1st 2035?

Nov 27, 5:20 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

47.97%chance

31666

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2074

1899

Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?

Mar 23, 6:32 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

70.01%chance

15481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

997

957

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Oct 10, 1:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60%chance

13353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1044

907

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