conflict News

Former Biden Adviser Jake Sullivan Supports Arms Embargo on Israel Amid Gaza Conflict and Ceasefire Collapse; Senators Criticize Syria Strikes

10 months ago

Which of these conflicts will turn into a hot war in 2026?

Feb 25, 4:47 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

7854739

OptionProbability

Insurgencies in Iran

United States vs. Iran

Insurgencies in Pakistan

Kurdish Nationalist Conflicts

Iraqi Conflict

Insurgencies in India

India vs. Pakistan

China vs. Taiwan

Russian Civil Conflict

United States Civil Conflict

100

Will 5,000+ Gazans starve to death as a result of the current conflict?

Mar 19, 2:07 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

19.5%chance

12550467

OptionVotes

YES

999

981

Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)

Jan 15, 2:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.92%chance

8640213

OptionVotes

YES

1371

579

Will India settle their Kashmir conflict with Pakistan before January 1st 2035?

Nov 27, 5:20 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

31.47%chance

4323001

OptionVotes

YES

2772

1507

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.23%chance

3012041

OptionVotes

YES

7723

3690

Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

Jan 29, 10:42 AMDec 29, 12:59 AM

26%chance

5610896

OptionVotes

YES

1459

774

US and Mexico engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029

Jan 4, 7:50 PMJan 21, 12:00 AM

12.52%chance

134737

OptionVotes

YES

2644

378

Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?

Jan 28, 10:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

39.48%chance

412512

OptionVotes

YES

1014

949

Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars?

Apr 15, 4:32 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

31.17%chance

192303

OptionVotes

YES

1072

954

Will Trump have a public conflict with FEMA during his 2nd term?

Nov 9, 10:18 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

71.12%chance

9657

OptionVotes

YES

1569

637

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Oct 10, 1:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60%chance

13389

OptionVotes

YES

1044

907

Will the number of conflicts involving AI-powered autonomous weapons systems rise by at least 50% within next 10 years?

Apr 9, 9:30 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

76.15%chance

12270

OptionVotes

YES

1232

880

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Middle East
War
US Foreign Policy
Former Biden Adviser Jake Sullivan Supports Arms Embargo on Israel Amid Gaza Conflict and Ceasefire Collapse; Senators Criticize Syria Strikes
Authors
8
10 months ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

conflict News

Top stories

Prediction markets for conflict

Prediction markets for conflict

Prediction markets for conflict

Which of these conflicts will turn into a hot war in 2026?

Will 5,000+ Gazans starve to death as a result of the current conflict?

Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)

Will India settle their Kashmir conflict with Pakistan before January 1st 2035?

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

US and Mexico engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029

Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?

Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars?

Will Trump have a public conflict with FEMA during his 2nd term?

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Will the number of conflicts involving AI-powered autonomous weapons systems rise by at least 50% within next 10 years?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram