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Top stories

Newsom Says He Receives Two Dozen ‘Trump 2028’ Hats

Prediction Markets

Newsom Says He Receives Two Dozen ‘Trump 2028’ Hats

Authors

15

5 months ago

Louisiana Urges Supreme Court to Strike VRA’s Section 2, End Race-Based Maps

Louisiana Urges Supreme Court to Strike VRA’s Section 2, End Race-Based Maps

Authors

14

5 months ago

Pritzker Rejects Trump Threat to Deploy National Guard in Chicago

US Domestic Policy

Pritzker Rejects Trump Threat to Deploy National Guard in Chicago

Authors

13

5 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Ex-ICE Chief Homan Slams Newsom for Labeling Agency Trump’s ‘Private Police’

Authors

6

5 months ago

Trump Threatens Lawsuit to Overturn Senate Blue Slip Tradition

Authors

12

5 months ago

Fifth Circuit Backs Suppressor Conviction as Tenth Circuit Questions Gun Ban for Marijuana Users

Authors

3

5 months ago

Executive Orders

Colorado, Nevada Secretaries of State Resist Trump Plan to End Mail Voting

Authors

12

6 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Protests Erupt in Washington After Trump Sends National Guard

Authors

14

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Constitution

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

Jul 10, 8:22 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

65.71%chance

14946855

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1531

399

If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?

Feb 19, 4:18 AMNov 9, 5:59 AM

59.47%chance

838387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1211

825

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.54%chance

412843

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

532

Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?

Jun 3, 6:31 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

34.33%chance

231823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1383

723

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2040?

Jan 21, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

77.97%chance

251370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1142

932

If Trump wins, will he or any member of his cabinet criticize the Constitution by the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 11:11 AMNov 4, 7:59 PM

76.4%chance

201279

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1263

879

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2050?

Jan 21, 4:20 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

71.95%chance

171078

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1271

858

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2070?

Jan 21, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

62.16%chance

17741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

916

Tesla's fleet sales constitute over 30% of total vehicle sales by December 31, 2027

Jun 4, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.92%chance

9682

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1617

632

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2100?

Jan 21, 8:20 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

53.26%chance

17443

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

990

Will "Secular" be officially removed from the Preamble to the Constitution of India before 2028?

Jan 24, 5:06 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

19.27%chance

10368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1204

930

Will there be a US Constitutional Convention before 2100?

Apr 14, 6:55 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

37.73%chance

14250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

995

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