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Top stories

Newsom Says He Receives Two Dozen ‘Trump 2028’ Hats

Prediction Markets

Newsom Says He Receives Two Dozen ‘Trump 2028’ Hats

Authors

15

1 year ago

Louisiana Urges Supreme Court to Strike VRA’s Section 2, End Race-Based Maps

Louisiana Urges Supreme Court to Strike VRA’s Section 2, End Race-Based Maps

Authors

14

1 year ago

Pritzker Rejects Trump Threat to Deploy National Guard in Chicago

US Domestic Policy

Pritzker Rejects Trump Threat to Deploy National Guard in Chicago

Authors

13

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Ex-ICE Chief Homan Slams Newsom for Labeling Agency Trump’s ‘Private Police’

Authors

6

1 year ago

Trump Threatens Lawsuit to Overturn Senate Blue Slip Tradition

Authors

12

1 year ago

Fifth Circuit Backs Suppressor Conviction as Tenth Circuit Questions Gun Ban for Marijuana Users

Authors

3

1 year ago

Executive Orders

Colorado, Nevada Secretaries of State Resist Trump Plan to End Mail Voting

Authors

12

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Protests Erupt in Washington After Trump Sends National Guard

Authors

14

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Constitution

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

Jul 10, 8:22 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

60.7%chance

15248690

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1425

461

If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?

Feb 19, 4:18 AMNov 9, 5:59 AM

50.28%chance

878715

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

994

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29.31%chance

545947

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1075

734

Constitutional amendment by 2050?

Dec 13, 8:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.49%chance

364999

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1293

697

Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?

Jun 3, 6:31 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

34%chance

231833

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1393

718

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2050?

Jan 21, 4:20 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

67%chance

191503

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1096

935

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2040?

Jan 21, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

77.68%chance

251374

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

936

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2070?

Jan 21, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

62.16%chance

17741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

916

Tesla's fleet sales constitute over 30% of total vehicle sales by December 31, 2027

Jun 4, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.92%chance

9682

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1617

632

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2060?

Jan 21, 5:20 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

62.16%chance

13612

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

972

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2100?

Jan 21, 8:20 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

53.26%chance

17443

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

990

Will there be a US Constitutional Convention before 2100?

Apr 14, 6:55 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

37.73%chance

14250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

995

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