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Fortinet and ESET Report New Malware Campaigns Including 77 Malicious Android Apps, ShadowCaptcha, MixShell, and AI-Powered Ransomware

7 months ago

Will at least one other person be found guilty in a court of law for involvement in Crooks' Trump assassination attempt?

Jul 18, 2:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.63%chance

1738581

OptionVotes

YES

45481

7857

Will aliens make a public debut before 2030?

Oct 23, 12:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.86%chance

4411540

OptionVotes

YES

1613

895

Will the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) sustain battle damage caused directly by Iranian military forces before 31 march

Feb 28, 8:03 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

13.36%chance

524918

OptionVotes

YES

255

Will the US President or UK Prime Minister confirm the existence of Non-Human Intelligence (NHI) before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 12:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.19%chance

92576

OptionVotes

YES

1032

754

Will a useful contact lens display be commercially available by 2030

Dec 22, 5:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.69%chance

311200

OptionVotes

YES

1338

782

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.25%chance

18894

OptionVotes

YES

1259

922

Will Ilya Sutskever turn out to have been actively working in person and in contact w/OpenAI jan1-jan15 2024?

Jan 19, 5:56 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

19.93%chance

14535

OptionVotes

YES

1329

744

Conditional on us making contact with intelligent extraterrestrial life, how many light years away is it from Earth?

Oct 26, 5:17 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

43.83%chance

12477

OptionProbability

YES

1035

945

What will be the P(doom) of these individuals 6 months after ASI has been created but hasn't wiped out humanity yet?

May 23, 10:45 AMJul 4, 8:31 AM

11400

OptionProbability

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Geoffrey Hinton

Nick Bostrom

Toby Ord

Scott Alexander

Ilya Sutskever

Yoshua Bengio

Dario Amodei

Sam Altman

Yann LeCun

When can Android automatically convert a screenshot to a contact card using LLM+Vision?

Apr 18, 4:28 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3289

OptionProbability

H2 2025

H1 2025

H1 2026

H2 2026

H1 2027

H2 2027

H2 2024

H1 2024

2028+ or later or never

Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?

Mar 5, 3:08 PMSep 27, 11:59 PM

53.08%chance

399

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will the US military land troops on Qeshm before the end of April 2026?

Mar 22, 11:22 PMApr 30, 10:59 PM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

150

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Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
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Fortinet and ESET Report New Malware Campaigns Including 77 Malicious Android Apps, ShadowCaptcha, MixShell, and AI-Powered Ransomware
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7 months ago

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Will at least one other person be found guilty in a court of law for involvement in Crooks' Trump assassination attempt?

Will aliens make a public debut before 2030?

Will the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) sustain battle damage caused directly by Iranian military forces before 31 march

Will the US President or UK Prime Minister confirm the existence of Non-Human Intelligence (NHI) before the end of 2026?

Will a useful contact lens display be commercially available by 2030

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Will Ilya Sutskever turn out to have been actively working in person and in contact w/OpenAI jan1-jan15 2024?

Conditional on us making contact with intelligent extraterrestrial life, how many light years away is it from Earth?

What will be the P(doom) of these individuals 6 months after ASI has been created but hasn't wiped out humanity yet?

When can Android automatically convert a screenshot to a contact card using LLM+Vision?

Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?

Will the US military land troops on Qeshm before the end of April 2026?

Latest stories

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