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Prediction markets for Control
Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Sep 19, 12:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
150201902
OptionProbability
57
24
18
2
0
0
0
0
Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?
Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.72%chance
5954539
OptionVotes
40585
2464
Will Taiwan de facto be controlled by China before 2026 according to Western media?
Jan 28, 6:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
3.76%chance
2440407
OptionVotes
36783
7377
Will being on hormonal birth control correlate with masc vs femme preference, in females?
Aug 11, 2:47 AMAug 18, 2:45 AM
45%chance
19529413
OptionVotes
1106
905
Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?
Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
23.41%chance
8720078
OptionVotes
12408
8996
Will there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?
Apr 28, 9:28 PMJan 1, 10:27 PM
32.3%chance
2415943
OptionVotes
14478
6907
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM
22.88%chance
5611953
OptionVotes
1836
545
Will the US implement some form of capital control by 2029?
Mar 9, 11:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
53%chance
5410415
OptionVotes
6420
3008
Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.7%chance
266994
OptionVotes
7748
3856
Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.09%chance
124921
OptionVotes
5899
3086
FDA approves YCT-529 male birth control pill before 2035?
Jul 1, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.3%chance
54272
OptionVotes
13540
7386
Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?
Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM
53.96%chance
151698
OptionVotes
10382
9514
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