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Top stories

Google’s ‘Nano Banana’ AI Model Launches as Higgsfield Offers Year-Long Free Use

Google’s ‘Nano Banana’ AI Model Launches as Higgsfield Offers Year-Long Free Use

Authors

26

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Creator

Will Allan Lichtman (creator of the 13 Keys) correctly predict the 2028 election?

Oct 14, 12:17 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM

67.06%chance

177310

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1427

701

Will Manifold allow market creators to noticeably prohibit themselves from trading on their own markets?

Jan 8, 8:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.38%chance

436002

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2845

62

Will the creator of this market (me) be here to resolve it on December 31st 2025?

Dec 24, 11:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94.49%chance

215703

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4274

336

Will Manifold hire a professional market creator by the end of 2025?

Sep 1, 1:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4.61%chance

193788

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4481

547

🐲 Will I Slay all 20 Top Creators by the end of 2026?

Nov 2, 1:50 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM

5.36%chance

103306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4202

238

Will the creator of any cryptocurrency be imprisoned for creating it before 2033?

Dec 11, 2:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

5.49%chance

213037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2050

707

Will 50%+ of the Top Creators on the Manifold leaderboard by end of 2025 have 20K or more followers on their Twitter accounts?

Jan 26, 3:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6%chance

112362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3280

685

Will Alexandra Elbakyan (creator of Sci-Hub) ever receive a Nobel Prize?

Dec 11, 12:41 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

8.89%chance

271091

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1057

970

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?

Mar 3, 5:23 PMDec 8, 9:35 PM

25.25%chance

15869

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

931

Will the creator of this market resolve it to yes on December 31st, 2025

Oct 28, 2:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.38%chance

3620

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1070

935

Will Manifold market creators go on strike at any point before 2028?

May 12, 9:43 AMMay 19, 11:59 AM

14.27%chance

14227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1145

941

If a market creator who is well-known in the real world resolves a market in a way that they believe to be correct, but Manifold admins believe to be incorrect, will they treat that market differently from the markets of non-famous users?

Dec 15, 1:31 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

31.49%chance

12146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1054

966

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
AI Modeling
AI Products
AI
Google’s ‘Nano Banana’ AI Model Launches as Higgsfield Offers Year-Long Free Use
Authors
26
3 months ago

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