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Prediction markets for Creator
Will Allan Lichtman (creator of the 13 Keys) correctly predict the 2028 election?
Oct 14, 12:17 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM
67.06%chance
177310
OptionVotes
1427
701
Will Manifold allow market creators to noticeably prohibit themselves from trading on their own markets?
Jan 8, 8:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5.38%chance
436002
OptionVotes
2845
62
Will the creator of this market (me) be here to resolve it on December 31st 2025?
Dec 24, 11:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
94.49%chance
215703
OptionVotes
4274
336
Will Manifold hire a professional market creator by the end of 2025?
Sep 1, 1:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
4.61%chance
193788
OptionVotes
4481
547
OptionVotes
4202
238
Will the creator of any cryptocurrency be imprisoned for creating it before 2033?
Dec 11, 2:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
5.49%chance
213037
OptionVotes
2050
707
Will 50%+ of the Top Creators on the Manifold leaderboard by end of 2025 have 20K or more followers on their Twitter accounts?
Jan 26, 3:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6%chance
112362
OptionVotes
3280
685
Will Alexandra Elbakyan (creator of Sci-Hub) ever receive a Nobel Prize?
Dec 11, 12:41 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
8.89%chance
271091
OptionVotes
1057
970
Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?
Mar 3, 5:23 PMDec 8, 9:35 PM
25.25%chance
15869
OptionVotes
1107
931
Will the creator of this market resolve it to yes on December 31st, 2025
Oct 28, 2:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
53.38%chance
3620
OptionVotes
1070
935
Will Manifold market creators go on strike at any point before 2028?
May 12, 9:43 AMMay 19, 11:59 AM
14.27%chance
14227
OptionVotes
1145
941
If a market creator who is well-known in the real world resolves a market in a way that they believe to be correct, but Manifold admins believe to be incorrect, will they treat that market differently from the markets of non-famous users?
Dec 15, 1:31 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
31.49%chance
12146
OptionVotes
1054
966
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