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Prediction markets for Criminal Code
Will Avraham Eisenberg be freed from incarceration before the development of AGI?
Jan 7, 5:04 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
94.71%chance
216649
OptionVotes
2923
78
Is "jerky" a reference to human meat in Epstein files?
Feb 15, 6:14 AMDec 31, 6:12 AM
13.57%chance
205210
OptionVotes
2524
396
Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill?
Apr 2, 10:03 PMDec 31, 10:55 PM
36.45%chance
523242
OptionVotes
1486
655
What does pizza refer to in Epstein files (in addition to actual pizza food)?
Feb 15, 6:22 AMDec 31, 6:19 AM
232658
OptionProbability
39
34
15
8
4
Will Communism fall from power in Cuba by January 1, 2035?
Dec 5, 2:26 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM
78.1%chance
192068
OptionVotes
1888
530
Will Lil Nas X (Montero Lamar Hill) be convicted on any of his August 2025 charges?
Aug 26, 12:50 PMApr 13, 10:59 PM
46.35%chance
7356
OptionVotes
425
151
OptionProbability
17
17
14
13
9
0
If the AfD enters the federal government after the next Bundestag election, will §86a StGB be repealed or altered?
Jan 20, 8:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.35%chance
3116
OptionVotes
198
51
Italy: Will Parliament curb prosecutors' judicial police powers by EOY 2029? (unconditional)
Mar 12, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.23%chance
345
OptionVotes
145
69
Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill?
Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 10:55 PM
37.28%chance
12
OptionVotes
102
97
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