Current Population Survey News

Noem Says 1.6 Million Undocumented Migrants Left U.S. as ICE Deportations Rise

4 months ago

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.76%chance

55393

OptionVotes

YES

6279

1018

Will there be more software developers employed in the United States in June 2026 than June 2025?

Jul 2, 8:15 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

59%chance

162059

OptionVotes

YES

1200

834

Will there be >15% unemployment at any time prior to January 1st 2026?

Nov 16, 10:47 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1.46%chance

171909

OptionVotes

YES

1097

Will everyone “Return To Office” (RTO) in 2025?

Dec 19, 3:45 PMDec 31, 4:00 AM

18.13%chance

161259

OptionVotes

YES

2125

471

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2026?

Jun 1, 6:58 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.31%chance

8220

OptionVotes

YES

189

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2027?

Jun 1, 6:58 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.99%chance

568

OptionVotes

YES

115

103

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2029?

Jun 1, 6:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.21%chance

455

OptionVotes

YES

134

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2028?

Jun 1, 6:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.99%chance

OptionVotes

YES

What Manifold question would be good to put on the (unofficial) LW Community Survey?

Nov 29, 11:09 PM

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Noem Says 1.6 Million Undocumented Migrants Left U.S. as ICE Deportations Rise
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Current Population Survey News

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Prediction markets for Current Population Survey

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Prediction markets for Current Population Survey

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

Will there be more software developers employed in the United States in June 2026 than June 2025?

Will there be >15% unemployment at any time prior to January 1st 2026?

Will everyone “Return To Office” (RTO) in 2025?

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2026?

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2027?

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2029?

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2028?

What Manifold question would be good to put on the (unofficial) LW Community Survey?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram