Current Population Survey News

Noem Says 1.6 Million Undocumented Migrants Left U.S. as ICE Deportations Rise

10 months ago

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.18%chance

77331

OptionVotes

YES

5565

1084

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

Feb 15, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

163670

OptionVotes

YES

2603

1623

Will US unemployment exceed 5% in 2026?

Jun 4, 4:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.84%chance

9403

OptionVotes

YES

125

What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2027?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

22.3%chance

2110

OptionProbability

YES

193

What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2026?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

21.2%chance

2102

OptionProbability

YES

199

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2027?

Jun 1, 6:58 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.99%chance

568

OptionVotes

YES

115

103

Will the July 2026 U.S. U-6 unemployment rate be at least 8.0%?

Jun 15, 11:14 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

37.2%chance

563

OptionVotes

YES

140

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2029?

Jun 1, 6:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.21%chance

455

OptionVotes

YES

134

Will the June 2026 U.S. U-6 unemployment rate be at least 8.0%?

Jun 7, 9:03 PMJul 2, 12:25 PM

64.04%chance

237

OptionVotes

YES

113

Will the July 2026 U.S. labor force participation rate be at least 62.0%?

Jun 15, 10:16 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

29.03%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2028?

Jun 1, 6:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.99%chance

OptionVotes

YES

What Manifold question would be good to put on the (unofficial) LW Community Survey?

Nov 29, 11:09 PM

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Noem Says 1.6 Million Undocumented Migrants Left U.S. as ICE Deportations Rise
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Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

Will US unemployment exceed 5% in 2026?

What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2027?

What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2026?

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2027?

Will the July 2026 U.S. U-6 unemployment rate be at least 8.0%?

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2029?

Will the June 2026 U.S. U-6 unemployment rate be at least 8.0%?

Will the July 2026 U.S. labor force participation rate be at least 62.0%?

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2028?

What Manifold question would be good to put on the (unofficial) LW Community Survey?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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