Current Population Survey News

Noem Says 1.6 Million Undocumented Migrants Left U.S. as ICE Deportations Rise

9 months ago

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.18%chance

77331

OptionVotes

YES

5565

1084

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

Feb 15, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

163670

OptionVotes

YES

2603

1623

Will there be more software developers employed in the United States in June 2026 than June 2025?

Jul 2, 8:15 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

69%chance

232728

OptionVotes

YES

1515

681

What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2027?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

22.3%chance

2110

OptionProbability

YES

193

What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2026?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

21.2%chance

2102

OptionProbability

YES

199

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2027?

Jun 1, 6:58 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.99%chance

568

OptionVotes

YES

115

103

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2029?

Jun 1, 6:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.21%chance

455

OptionVotes

YES

134

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2028?

Jun 1, 6:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.99%chance

OptionVotes

YES

What Manifold question would be good to put on the (unofficial) LW Community Survey?

Nov 29, 11:09 PM

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Noem Says 1.6 Million Undocumented Migrants Left U.S. as ICE Deportations Rise
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Current Population Survey News

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Prediction markets for Current Population Survey

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Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

Will there be more software developers employed in the United States in June 2026 than June 2025?

What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2027?

What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2026?

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2027?

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2029?

Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2028?

What Manifold question would be good to put on the (unofficial) LW Community Survey?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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Telegram