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Prediction markets for Current Population Survey
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?
May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.18%chance
87352
OptionVotes
5565
1084
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?
Feb 15, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29%chance
183859
OptionVotes
2603
1623
OptionVotes
271
37
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2027?
Jun 1, 6:58 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
23.41%chance
6168
OptionVotes
203
41
OptionProbability
113
85
OptionProbability
110
88
Will US translator jobs stay stable based on 2026 data (likely to be published Q1 2027)?
Aug 31, 3:27 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
60.66%chance
7136
OptionVotes
124
81
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2029?
Jun 1, 6:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
61.21%chance
455
OptionVotes
134
91
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2028?
Jun 1, 6:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
50.99%chance
11
OptionVotes
71
69
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