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China’s Wang Yi Courts India, Afghanistan and Pakistan in Security and CPEC Push

7 months ago

Darius Stock

Oct 29, 11:50 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

1187926929

OptionProbability

YES

2901

1951

Does dark matter exist?

May 1, 4:37 PMMay 8, 8:59 PM

80.36%chance

507156

OptionVotes

YES

1425

840

Will a human walk on Mars before a Nobel Prize is awarded for a discovery relating to dark matter?

Jun 16, 10:13 PMJan 1, 7:01 AM

67.74%chance

362720

OptionVotes

YES

977

952

Will Aubrey Darwin Niederhoffer become a Thiel Fellow before 2028?

Oct 30, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

71219

OptionVotes

YES

1006

1004

Will Tomonori Totoni's claim of dark matter detection be broadly accepted before 2030?

Nov 27, 7:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.64%chance

4903

OptionVotes

YES

1903

525

Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030?

Feb 19, 6:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61%chance

16837

OptionVotes

YES

1251

800

What percentage of dark matter is baryonic?

Oct 30, 4:44 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

30.05%chance

12569

OptionVotes

YES

1027

973

DARPA Lift challenge participants achieve over 4X lift ratio?

Nov 14, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.82%chance

3423

OptionVotes

YES

1399

715

Will the DARPA Lift challenge have qualifying participants with a lift ratio of over 2X?

Nov 14, 10:35 PMDec 31, 10:22 PM

37.48%chance

3327

OptionVotes

YES

1292

774

Will Darien Village at Próspera be officially completed by EOY 2027?

Sep 18, 10:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.87%chance

7162

OptionVotes

YES

1043

958

If I ever debate Darth Dawkins, will I 'win' by Manifold's judgement?

Feb 14, 2:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

68.74%chance

1185

OptionVotes

YES

1007

988

Will Dar es Salaam, Tanzania have a Metro System before 2030?

Mar 20, 1:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.62%chance

240

OptionVotes

YES

121

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China’s Wang Yi Courts India, Afghanistan and Pakistan in Security and CPEC Push
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Darius Stock

Does dark matter exist?

Will a human walk on Mars before a Nobel Prize is awarded for a discovery relating to dark matter?

Will Aubrey Darwin Niederhoffer become a Thiel Fellow before 2028?

Will Tomonori Totoni's claim of dark matter detection be broadly accepted before 2030?

Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030?

What percentage of dark matter is baryonic?

DARPA Lift challenge participants achieve over 4X lift ratio?

Will the DARPA Lift challenge have qualifying participants with a lift ratio of over 2X?

Will Darien Village at Próspera be officially completed by EOY 2027?

If I ever debate Darth Dawkins, will I 'win' by Manifold's judgement?

Will Dar es Salaam, Tanzania have a Metro System before 2030?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram