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Prediction markets for Dar
OptionProbability
3061
1886
OptionVotes
1425
840
OptionVotes
1648
754
Will a human walk on Mars before a Nobel Prize is awarded for a discovery relating to dark matter?
Jun 16, 10:13 PMJan 1, 7:01 AM
67.74%chance
362720
OptionVotes
977
952
Will the source of the Dark Energy effect be found among currently known Standard Model particles?
Aug 7, 9:24 AMNov 3, 2:59 PM
52.31%chance
181476
OptionVotes
1144
830
OptionVotes
1032
976
Will Australia-Asia Power Link deliver 900 megawatts of electricity to Darwin by 2030?
Aug 23, 9:59 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
19.92%chance
21005
OptionVotes
2005
499
Will the supermassive dark star candidates observed by JWST exhibit spectroscopy consistent with dark stars?
Sep 22, 9:07 PMOct 21, 6:59 AM
18.49%chance
17787
OptionVotes
1300
882
OptionProbability
90
8
2
OptionVotes
1027
973
If I ever debate Darth Dawkins, will I 'win' by Manifold's judgement?
Feb 14, 2:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
68.74%chance
1185
OptionVotes
1007
988
Will Dar es Salaam, Tanzania have a Metro System before 2030?
Mar 20, 1:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.75%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
91