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Deadpool News

    Prediction markets for Deadpool

    Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?

    Aug 21, 7:36 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM
    12282817588

    OptionProbability

    Elon Musk

    Bill Gates

    Jeff Bezos

    Mr. Beast

    Other

    Ilya Sutskever

    Robert Caro

    Barack Obama

    Donald Trump

    Sam Altman

    JD Vance

    Jensen Huang

    Kamala Harris

    Joe Biden

    Gwern Branwen

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    roon

    pope Francis

    Peter Thiel

    No one, the tweet was a joke or intended to attract advertisers without referring to someone specific

    Sarah Paine

    Tim Cook

    Satya Nadella

    Justin Trudeau

    Brian Shaw (_biggest_ guest yet?)

    Narendra Modi

    Xi Jinping

    Dalai Lama

    Buffett

    Taylor Swift

    Lebron James

    GPT-5

    Bill Clinton

    A basketball player

    Vladimir Putin

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    Jesus Christ

    Rona Wang

    Jose Luis ricon

    Kettner Griswold

    James Koppel

    Sam Bankman-Fried

    Nancy Pelosi

    Rishi Sunak

    Keir Starmer

    Satoshi Nakomoto

    Jimmy Carter

    George W Bush

    Al Gore

    Michael Jackson

    your mom

    Mitt Romney

    one or both of his parents

    A new OpenAI AI model not called "GPT-5"

    Connor Duffy

    MBS

    Geoffrey Hinton

    Scott Alexander

    The Mountain (Icelandic strongman)

    Leonardo DiCaprio

    RFK Jr

    Sydney Sweeney

    growing_daniel

    greg16676935420

    Deadpool

    Terence Tao

    Shaq

    Oprah Winfrey

    Yoshua Bengio

    Sundar Pichai

    Scarlett Johansson

    Paul McCartney

    [duplicate]

    Neel Nanda

    King Charles

    Kim Jong Un

    Gavin Newsom

    Royal Palace

    [cancelled option]

    Daniel Yergin

    Peter Singer

    Gabe Newell

    Neil Gorsuch

    Stephen Breyer

    Dmitry Medvedev

    JK Rowling

    Shrek

    Sam Hyde

    [invalid answer] Multiple people e.g. a team from OpenAI

    Marques Brownlee

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Ben Shindel

    Javier Milei

    Dylan Patel

    Joe Rogan

    Marc Andreessen

    Mike Tyson

    Jake Paul

    Matt Gaetz

    21

    15

    10

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    4

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    0

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    0

    Who will appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?

    Mar 25, 10:17 AMMay 7, 11:59 AM
    563827

    OptionProbability

    Tom Holland (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)

    Anthony Mackie (Sam Wilson / Captain America)

    Pedro Pascal (Reed Richards / Mister Fantastic)

    Benedict Cumberbatch (Dr. Stephen Strange)

    Joseph Quinn (Johnny Storm / Human Torch)

    Samuel L. Jackson (Nick Fury)

    Robert Downey, Jr. (Victor von Doom / Doctor Doom, Tony Stark / Iron Man)

    Vanessa Kirby (Sue Storm / Invisible Woman)

    Ebon Moss-Bachrach (Ben Grimm / The Thing)

    Paul Rudd (Scott Lang / Ant-Man)

    Chris Hemsworth (Thor)

    Charlie Cox (Matt Murdock / Daredevil)

    Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Valentina Allegra de Fontaine)

    Pom Klementieff (Mantis)

    Sebastian Stan (Bucky Barnes / Winter Soldier / White Wolf)

    Simu Liu (Shang-Chi)

    Danny Ramirez (Joaquin Torres / Falcon)

    Iman Vellani (Kamala Khan / Ms. Marvel)

    Ryan Reynolds (Wade Wilson / Deadpool)

    Mark Ruffalo (Bruce Banner / Hulk)

    Dominique Thorne (Riri Williams / Ironheart)

    Florence Pugh (Yelena Belova / Black Widow)

    Benedict Wong (Wong)

    Chris Pratt (Peter Quill / Star-Lord)

    Vin Diesel (Groot)

    Jeremy Renner (Clint Barton / Hawkeye)

    Wyatt Russell (John Walker / U.S. Agent)

    Brie Larson (Carol Danvers / Captain Marvel)

    Hannah John-Kamen (Ava Starr / Ghost)

    Letitia Wright (Shuri / Black Panther)

    Karen Gillan (Nebula)

    Tatiana Maslany (Jennifer Walters / She-Hulk)

    David Harbour (Alexei Shostakov / Red Guardian)

    Hailee Steinfeld (Kate Bishop / Hawkeye)

    Teyonah Parris (Monica Rambeau)

    Xochitl Gomez (America Chavez)

    Kathryn Newton (Cassie Lang)

    Bradley Cooper (Rocket Raccoon)

    Will Poulter (Adam Warlock)

    Tenoch Huerta Mejía (Namor)

    Don Cheadle (James "Rhodey" Rhodes / War Machine)

    Tessa Thompson (Valkyrie)

    Winston Duke (M'Baku)

    Elizabeth Olsen (Wanda Maximoff / Scarlet Witch)

    Paul Bettany (Vision)

    Kathryn Hahn (Agatha Harkness)

    Danai Gurira (Okoye)

    Oscar Isaac (Marc Spector / Moon Knight, Steven Grant / Mr. Knight, Jake Lockley)

    Hayley Atwell (Peggy Carter / Captain Carter)

    Tom Hiddleston (Loki)

    Mahershala Ali (Blade)

    Hugh Jackman (James "Logan" Howlett / Wolverine)

    Sean Gunn (Kraglin)

    Chris Evans (Steve Rogers / Captain America)

    Alaqua Cox (Maya Lopez / Echo)

    Lupita Nyong'o (Nakia)

    Wil Deusner (Skaar)

    Gemma Chan (Sersi)

    Kumail Nanjiani (Kingo)

    Lia McHugh (Sprite)

    Brian Tyree Henry (Phastos)

    Barry Keoghan (Druig)

    Harry Styles (Eros / Starfox)

    Patton Oswalt (Pip the Troll)

    Kit Harington (Dane Whitman)

    Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (Simon Williams / Wonder Man)

    Ralph Ineson (Galactus)

    Evangeline Lilly (Hope van Dyne / Wasp)

    Seth Green (Howard the Duck)

    Tobey Maguire (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)

    Zoe Saldaña (Gamora)

    Dave Bautista (Drax)

    Angelina Jolie (Thena)

    Gael García Bernal (Jack Russell / Werewolf by Night)

    Scarlett Johansson (Natasha Romanoff / Black Widow)

    Andrew Garfield (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)

    Lauren Ridloff (Makkari)

    May Calamawy (Layla El-Faouly / Scarlet Scarab)

    Emilia Clarke (G'iah)

    Jeffrey Wright (The Watcher)

    Harrison Ford (Thaddeus "Thunderbolt" Ross)

    Olga Kurylenko (Antonia Dreykov / Taskmaster)

    Brett Goldstein (Hercules)

    Don Lee (Gilgamesh)

    94

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    27

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    16

    Who will deal the final blow against Kang in the MCU?

    May 6, 5:29 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    71898

    OptionProbability

    Loki

    Sylvie

    Mr. Fantastic

    Other

    Ant-Man (Lang)

    Spider-Man

    Hawkeye (Barton)

    Captain America (Rogers)

    Iron Man

    Black Widow (Romanoff)

    Nick Fury

    War Machine

    Winter Soldier

    Captain America (Wilson)

    Gamora

    Drax

    Rocket

    Groot

    Nebula

    Vision

    Ultron

    Wasp (Hope)

    Black Panther (T'Challa)

    Black Panther (Shuri)

    Wong

    Mantis

    Valkyrie

    Captain Marvel

    Yelena Belova

    Shang-Chi

    Sersi

    Thena

    Druig

    Makkari

    Kingo

    Phastos

    Phil Coulson

    Daisy Johnson

    Peggy Carter

    Black Bolt

    Daredevil

    Jessica Jones

    Luke Cage

    Iron Fist (Rand)

    Punisher

    Agatha Harkness

    Hawkeye (Bishop)

    Moon Knight

    Ms. Marvel

    Monica Rambeau

    She-Hulk

    Ironheart

    Echo

    Blade

    Wonder Man

    Okoye

    Nova

    Deadpool

    Wolverine

    Werewolf by Night

    The Invisible Woman

    The Thing

    The Human Torch

    Thor

    Hulk

    Thanos

    Star-Lord

    Scarlet Witch

    Doctor Strange

    Adam Warlock

    Kang

    19

    5

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

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    0

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    0

    Will there be a Batman vs Deadpool movie released by the end of 2028?

    May 27, 9:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    19.98%chance
    6662

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    200

    50

    Will Deadpool be playable in Marvel Rivals before 2026?

    Dec 9, 5:05 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
    43.68%chance
    8336

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    152

    86

    Will there be a Batman vs Deadpool movie released by the end of 2029?

    May 27, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    18.76%chance
    5292

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    208

    48

    Will there be a full Marvel Studios live-action X-Men movie released before the end of 2029?

    Mar 30, 5:01 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
    65.61%chance
    10136

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    283

    209

    Will Deadpool-style oxygen deprivation chambers become common by 2032?

    Jul 30, 2:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    45.45%chance
    110

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    110

    91

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