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Death to America News
Prediction markets for Death to America
Prediction markets for Death to America
Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:46 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
24.26%
chance
22
4741
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5159
2655
Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?
Nov 12, 2:58 AM
May 20, 4:00 PM
50.96%
chance
8
1041
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1019
981
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?
Jun 1, 6:33 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
35.26%
chance
19
1028
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1071
830
Will Iranian government action cause the deaths of at least 10 Americans within the borders of the US in 2025?
Jun 22, 1:17 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
18%
chance
22
765
Option
Votes
YES
NO
213
47
Will there be a Regional War involving 3 or more countries in South America by the end of 2025?
Nov 30, 2:40 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
10.91%
chance
16
544
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1356
926
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?
Jun 1, 6:33 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
25.08%
chance
7
199
Option
Votes
YES
NO
166
106
Will there be a Regional War involving 3 or more countries in South America by the end of 2030?
Nov 30, 2:39 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
27.37%
chance
6
124
Option
Votes
YES
NO
122
70
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