Death to America News

Pro-Palestinian Demonstrations in Washington D.C. and Dearborn Feature Anti-American Chants, Iranian Flag, and President Trump's Accusations

7 months ago

If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?

Jan 21, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8516507

OptionProbability

Palantir

Other

OpenAI

xAI

Anthropic

Anduril

Google

Facebook

DeepSeek

Alibaba

Mistral

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.26%chance

224741

OptionVotes

YES

5159

2655

If an AI system is causes the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame? (no n/a)

Jan 21, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

131493

OptionProbability

[No such event occurs, or otherwise underlying n/a]

Palantir

Other

xAI

OpenAI

Anthropic

Google

DeepSeek

Facebook

Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?

Nov 12, 2:58 AMMay 20, 4:00 PM

59.79%chance

91241

OptionVotes

YES

1219

820

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

35.26%chance

201078

OptionVotes

YES

1139

883

If Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?

Jan 2, 10:17 AMJan 2, 10:17 AM

80.5%chance

10228

OptionVotes

YES

203

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

22.38%chance

9226

OptionVotes

YES

191

105

Will the World Tension Index get above 100 in 2026?

Dec 31, 6:41 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

35%chance

5140

OptionVotes

YES

136

Will there be a Regional War involving 3 or more countries in South America by the end of 2030?

Nov 30, 2:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29%chance

7126

OptionVotes

YES

117

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Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Detroit
Washington DC
Pro-Palestinian Demonstrations in Washington D.C. and Dearborn Feature Anti-American Chants, Iranian Flag, and President Trump's Accusations
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7 months ago

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If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

If an AI system is causes the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame? (no n/a)

Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

If Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?

Will the World Tension Index get above 100 in 2026?

Will there be a Regional War involving 3 or more countries in South America by the end of 2030?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram