Dec News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Dec
CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by Dec 1, 2025?
Aug 11, 9:50 AMDec 15, 11:59 PM
47.52%chance
3356338
OptionVotes
105086
95160
OptionProbability
71
14
11
4
OptionVotes
1125
685
On Dec 31, 2025, will a widely available AI model be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?
Dec 28, 2:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
71.5%chance
233794
OptionVotes
1584
631
Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?
Oct 19, 1:07 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
36.86%chance
473297
OptionVotes
1443
1123
will this tweet hold up: Humans will fly to Mars in 50 months [27 Dec, 2028]
Oct 27, 5:20 PMDec 28, 7:59 AM
9.78%chance
152825
OptionVotes
3037
329
Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035?
May 30, 3:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
27.28%chance
142450
OptionVotes
1633
613
Will Hunter Biden be arrested between Dec 2024-Dec 2028 for any crimes committed following his pardon?
Dec 7, 2:07 PMDec 1, 3:59 PM
19.31%chance
111371
OptionVotes
2044
489
OptionVotes
1082
831
Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?
Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
44.54%chance
9462
OptionVotes
1275
1087
Will the board game The Queen's Dilemma be delivered by Dec 31, 2025?
Dec 11, 7:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
52.63%chance
6334
OptionVotes
1054
949
Will Rabbit, Inc be sold or acquired before Dec 31st 2025
Jun 14, 3:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
39.31%chance
1250
OptionVotes
1242
805