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Prediction markets for Defender
Joint Market: Elon Musk defends the CCP in a tweet in 2024 & Twitter/X is unblocked in China before 2026
Dec 12, 3:44 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
123414
OptionProbability
90
9
0
0
If America bombs Iran, will any nation defend them?
Jun 16, 11:08 PMDec 30, 11:06 PM
8.79%chance
103180
OptionVotes
3221
310
Trump sends Tesla vandalism defendant to El Salvador before 2026?
Mar 22, 8:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.89%chance
281034
OptionVotes
368
27
Will an AI successfully defend or prosecute someone in court before 2030
Apr 3, 1:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
57.7%chance
15759
OptionVotes
1343
564
Will any of the Georgia election interference case defendants be remanded to custody for violating their bond?
Dec 3, 11:01 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
29.42%chance
14435
OptionVotes
1006
954
If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be Chinese strikes on American soil?
Dec 18, 2:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
11386
OptionProbability
84
74
55
20
Which of the Georgia election interference case defendents will accept plea deals or otherwise plead guilty?
Nov 23, 2:11 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
7363
OptionProbability
55
54
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
32
17
4
Will any currently well-known conservative figure publicly defend Hitler in 2025?
Mar 7, 2:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
71.21%chance
7298
OptionVotes
157
64
Will Peter Daszak be a defendant in a US, UK or EU trial related to his professional global health work before 2040
Jun 12, 9:33 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM
41.79%chance
9295
OptionVotes
158
125
How many defendants will plead guilty in the 2020 Georgia election interference case?
Oct 25, 2:06 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
9290
OptionProbability
35
25
18
13
7
3
Will Trump pardon the Gretchen Whitmer kidnapping plot defendants?
Jun 14, 5:45 PMDec 31, 6:44 PM
15.56%chance
6137
OptionVotes
233
43
Will Tom Aspinall successfully defend the UFC heavy weight title?
Aug 20, 7:29 AMDec 31, 8:29 AM
80%chance
2100
OptionVotes
200
50