Defender News

A court issues a temporary injunction preventing Cook’s removal before 2026

Cook remains in her position as of the September rate-setting meeting

At least 3 current or former Fed Govs issue public statements defending Cook or Fed independence before 2026

Supreme Court ruling on the shadow docket

A Supreme Court ruling (regular or shadow docket) has at least 3 dissents

Cook gives a published interview (3 questions or more) before 2026

A higher court reverses a lower court (appeal, tro, etc)

A sitting GOP Senator criticizes the firing (more than just concerns)

Trump will make up a nickname for Cook (announced via post or interview)

A plaintiff sues the Fed, asking court to enforce Cook's firing

Cook is barred from at least 1 FOMC meeting, AND her firing is ultimately deemed illegal

Cook is indicted for a felony related to her mortgages before litigation about her firing is completed

Trump threatens to fire Powell "for cause" since he didn't remove Cook

Cook resigns

Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026

Senate Committee holds a hearing for nominee to Cook’s seat before 2026

Yields on 10-year US Treasuries surpass 4.600% anytime before 10/1/25

Supreme Court hears arguments or makes ruling on the incident before 2026

Cook's replacement votes when regional Fed Presidents' terms are up for renewal (Feb 2026)

Trump actually attempts to fire Powell before Cook firing litigation is complete

Will be Indian

Will do an English interview after winning on that same day

Will have won by his opponent resigning or quitting or other irregular outing at least one game

Every challenger he faces will not be Indian (ethnicity) until he no longer holds it

In his first challenge, he will either beat an Indian challenger or lose to a non-Indian challenger. Indian meaning "ethnically Indian".

Will only be champion for ~1 year

He will marry while world champion

Will resign/quit or otherwise not defend his title during an official challenge match

He will stay champion until he marries. (marry then lose at next defense, YES), (marry + defend once, NO), (lose before marrying, NO),

Will defend his title at least three times

He will change citizenship or country he represents while world champion

He will become a father while world champion

Will lose the championship title to someone who has been world champion before

Will defend his title at least ten times

Every challenger he faces will be Indian (ethnicity) until he no longer holds it

Will be Chinese

Will have entered candidates tournament at least two times

Will have been born in a current day EU country

Will be married

Other

Gukesh Dommaraju

Fabiano Caruana

Magnus Carlsen

Hikaru Nakamura

NO

NO

YES

Official statement from Kuang or her publisher defending the passage.

None of the above.

Official apology from Kuang or her publisher.

Final published paper version does not include the passage.

YES

NO

NO

YES

NO