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Top stories

Trump Says He Backs FCC Revoking ABC, NBC Licenses

US Domestic Policy

Trump Says He Backs FCC Revoking ABC, NBC Licenses

Authors

44

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Democracy

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

31.21%chance

687290137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5548

3791

If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)

Feb 23, 9:36 PMJan 21, 10:59 PM

64.65%chance

19938407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1197

851

Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM

6.21%chance

906447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2009

1523

Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?

Jun 20, 10:38 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

44.01%chance

324918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

887

Will at least 20% of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Jun 13, 5:56 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM

18.64%chance

473320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1232

916

Will the democracy score for the United States significantly decrease by the end of 2025?

Jan 15, 4:18 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

82.32%chance

493239

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1847

115

Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?

May 11, 8:56 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

78.15%chance

203226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1021

779

Will the US be a democracy in 2050?

Dec 23, 5:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.88%chance

1043093

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2084

1932

By 2033, Will an AI be elected to public office in a democracy?

Mar 25, 6:32 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

26.93%chance

491642

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1174

908

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

41.23%chance

261358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

838

Will Russia be a democracy in 2030?

Dec 23, 4:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.3%chance

261227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

923

Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?

Dec 22, 12:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

51.37%chance

211178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

741

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Politics
Trump Says He Backs FCC Revoking ABC, NBC Licenses
Authors
44
3 months ago

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