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Top stories

Trump Says He Backs FCC Revoking ABC, NBC Licenses

US Domestic Policy

Trump Says He Backs FCC Revoking ABC, NBC Licenses

Authors

44

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Democracy

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

26.67%chance

774387144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6340

3474

If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)

Feb 23, 9:36 PMJan 21, 10:59 PM

19.48%chance

20641026

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2111

199

How will Venezuela be classified in The Economist's 2027 Democracy Index?

Jan 3, 12:27 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM

799415

OptionProbability

Authoritarian regime

Hybrid regime

Flawed democracy

Full democracy

58

30

11

1

Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM

5.54%chance

928367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2247

1508

Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?

Jun 20, 10:38 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

44.01%chance

324918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

887

Will the US be a democracy in 2050?

Dec 23, 5:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.63%chance

1063448

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2280

1132

Will at least 20% of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Jun 13, 5:56 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM

18.64%chance

473320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1232

916

Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?

May 11, 8:56 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

72.97%chance

223279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

633

Will India be a democracy in 2050?

Dec 23, 5:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.46%chance

252504

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1432

767

By 2033, Will an AI be elected to public office in a democracy?

Mar 25, 6:32 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

26.93%chance

491642

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1174

908

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

41.79%chance

271368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1207

867

Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?

Dec 22, 12:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

51.37%chance

211178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

741

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Politics
Trump Says He Backs FCC Revoking ABC, NBC Licenses
Authors
44
7 months ago

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