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Prediction markets for Democracy
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
31.21%chance
687290137
OptionVotes
5548
3791
If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)
Feb 23, 9:36 PMJan 21, 10:59 PM
64.65%chance
19938407
OptionVotes
1197
851
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM
6.21%chance
906447
OptionVotes
2009
1523
Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?
Jun 20, 10:38 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
44.01%chance
324918
OptionVotes
1128
887
Will at least 20% of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
Jun 13, 5:56 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM
18.64%chance
473320
OptionVotes
1232
916
Will the democracy score for the United States significantly decrease by the end of 2025?
Jan 15, 4:18 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM
82.32%chance
493239
OptionVotes
1847
115
OptionVotes
1021
779
OptionVotes
2084
1932
By 2033, Will an AI be elected to public office in a democracy?
Mar 25, 6:32 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
26.93%chance
491642
OptionVotes
1174
908
OptionVotes
1194
838
OptionVotes
1227
923
Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?
Dec 22, 12:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
51.37%chance
211178
OptionVotes
1184
741
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