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Prediction markets for Democracy
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
22%chance
783394355
OptionVotes
7386
3139
If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)
Feb 23, 9:36 PMJan 21, 10:59 PM
9.99%chance
20942181
OptionVotes
2626
113
How will Venezuela be classified in The Economist's 2027 Democracy Index?
Jan 3, 12:27 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM
799415
OptionProbability
58
30
11
1
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM
5.2%chance
928379
OptionVotes
2389
1500
Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?
Jun 20, 10:38 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
44.07%chance
334919
OptionVotes
1127
888
OptionVotes
2280
1132
Will at least 20% of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
Jun 13, 5:56 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM
18.06%chance
483373
OptionVotes
1269
908
OptionVotes
567
101
OptionVotes
1432
767
By 2033, Will an AI be elected to public office in a democracy?
Mar 25, 6:32 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
26.93%chance
491642
OptionVotes
1174
908
OptionVotes
1162
901
Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?
Dec 22, 12:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
51.37%chance
211178
OptionVotes
1184
741
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