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Prediction markets for Digital Markets Act
Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?
Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
78.94%chance
73804
OptionVotes
1009
985
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
82.06%chance
372697
OptionVotes
1928
630
Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?
Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
25.25%chance
17944
OptionVotes
1016
905
OptionProbability
51
32
7
4
4
1
0
0
0
Will the Take It Down act be used by the Trump administration to target political opponents?
May 19, 11:02 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
69.86%chance
6174
OptionVotes
152
66
By when will any of the the UK/EU/US enact content regulation on short form videos (TikTok, Instagram Reels, etc)
Feb 22, 6:11 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
2165
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
39
Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?
Jul 21, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.32%chance
4154
OptionVotes
218
46
Will x.com (formerly Twitter) be forced to restrict access to EU users over DSA compliance by 2026?
Nov 9, 10:51 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
52.09%chance
215
OptionVotes
104
96
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