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Yakuza Maker RGG Studio Sets Sept. 24 Summit Before Tokyo Game Show

7 months ago

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

43%chance

592573784

OptionVotes

YES

3255

1407

If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?

Aug 3, 3:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

35.08%chance

12913645

OptionVotes

YES

2576

1098

If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030

Apr 9, 8:12 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

40.23%chance

926495

OptionVotes

YES

3092

899

Will WW3 directly cause over 1B civilian casualties?

Jan 3, 8:44 PMJan 10, 10:59 PM

26.01%chance

86380

OptionVotes

YES

9588

101

Will a Manifest speaker run a direct science funding Organization by mid 2027?

Jun 9, 9:27 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

40.83%chance

34932

OptionVotes

YES

12039

8306

Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 2:41 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

22.43%chance

193648

OptionVotes

YES

2117

1093

In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that at least 1000 Americans died as a direct result of the Covid vaccine?

Sep 16, 4:24 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.02%chance

391901

OptionVotes

YES

1314

734

Will there be mass layoffs of knowledge workers as a direct result of AI by 2030?

Oct 10, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.72%chance

221532

OptionVotes

YES

1104

940

Will someone be able to play Super Smash Bros directly with the Neuralink as a controller by the end of 2034?

Mar 21, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.49%chance

191027

OptionVotes

YES

1047

538

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?

Aug 12, 9:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

59.17%chance

9959

OptionVotes

YES

1204

831

Will U.S. 401(k) plans widely allow direct investment in cryptocurrencies by 2030?

May 27, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.98%chance

5933

OptionVotes

YES

1831

546

Alphafold involved in a SOTA C02 direct air capture method by mid 2026 ?

Jun 2, 8:33 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

35.58%chance

5475

OptionVotes

YES

1345

743

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Aug 28, 2025
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Japan
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Yakuza Maker RGG Studio Sets Sept. 24 Summit Before Tokyo Game Show
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By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?

If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030

Will WW3 directly cause over 1B civilian casualties?

Will a Manifest speaker run a direct science funding Organization by mid 2027?

Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that at least 1000 Americans died as a direct result of the Covid vaccine?

Will there be mass layoffs of knowledge workers as a direct result of AI by 2030?

Will someone be able to play Super Smash Bros directly with the Neuralink as a controller by the end of 2034?

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?

Will U.S. 401(k) plans widely allow direct investment in cryptocurrencies by 2030?

Alphafold involved in a SOTA C02 direct air capture method by mid 2026 ?

Latest stories

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