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Prediction markets for Dragon
OptionProbability
2776
1981
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?
Aug 26, 8:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
35.1%chance
525802
OptionVotes
1360
735
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2028?
Aug 26, 8:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
69.97%chance
184299
OptionVotes
1526
655
A biological creature aesthetically recognizable as a dragon will exist on earth by 2060
Sep 27, 3:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
52.05%chance
303314
OptionVotes
1233
597
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?
Aug 26, 8:37 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
78.94%chance
71727
OptionVotes
1936
517
Will any of the Manifold founders go on Shark Tank or Dragon's Den before 2026?
Nov 22, 11:02 PMDec 30, 8:31 PM
2.36%chance
9843
OptionVotes
839
88
OptionVotes
1402
902
Will we be able to sell the manifest dragon shirt designed by @etirabys in the manifold merch store?
Jan 26, 7:57 PMDec 31, 7:56 PM
63.4%chance
7710
OptionVotes
1316
760
OptionProbability
92
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
167
84
Will a new official dungeons and dragons game on PC have Planescape in the title before 2040?
Aug 18, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
59.64%chance
5103
OptionVotes
122
82
OptionProbability
99
82
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