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Prediction markets for DS
ChatGPT-induced psychosis added to DSM-6 by December 31, 2030
Jul 17, 4:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.56%chance
183789
OptionVotes
3076
325
OptionProbability
72
61
59
58
52
51
51
47
41
38
37
35
35
29
22
21
20
15
0
Will the Nintendo Switch outsell the Nintendo DS before 2026?
May 27, 3:55 AMFeb 2, 12:30 PM
97.58%chance
131781
OptionVotes
1069
57
By what date will Nintendo add Nintendo DS games to Nintendo Switch Online?
Oct 10, 9:16 AMApr 1, 9:10 AM
8491
OptionProbability
54
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
Will Paraphiliac disorders be completely removed from the upcoming edition of the DSM
Feb 18, 5:37 PMJan 26, 5:59 AM
12.12%chance
7442
OptionVotes
299
124
OptionVotes
400
25
If Chi Ossé is endorsed by the DSA, who will win the NY-8 Democratic primary?
Nov 21, 2:13 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM
4257
OptionProbability
92
5
2
Will “histrionic personality disorder” (HPD) exist in DSM-6?
Jan 26, 11:35 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
15.18%chance
4113
OptionVotes
196
49
Will Chi Ossé be endorsed by the DSA for the NY-8 House seat?
Nov 21, 2:13 PMNov 25, 2:12 PM
41.66%chance
255
OptionVotes
118
85
OptionVotes
176
113
In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022?
Jun 20, 8:24 PMJan 31, 8:59 PM
525
OptionProbability
68
16
14
1
0
Will x.com (formerly Twitter) be forced to restrict access to EU users over DSA compliance by 2026?
Nov 9, 10:51 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
52.09%chance
215
OptionVotes
104
96
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