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Prediction markets for Edge
Will my friends' kid ever be better at any knowledge-work than cutting-edge AI, by 2040?
Mar 26, 12:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
15%chance
15782
OptionVotes
1675
819
OptionVotes
1153
868
Will the US implement a policy to track and license cutting-edge chips in large clusters by 2028?
Apr 28, 1:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.2%chance
10272
OptionVotes
170
168
Will 5G edge computing gain widespread adoption in consumer services before 2030?
Sep 1, 12:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
10.12%chance
3270
OptionVotes
290
35
If I try to replace the battery in my Motorola Edge, will I succeed?
Apr 17, 12:06 AMJan 1, 1:06 AM
75%chance
7186
OptionVotes
173
58
Will Edge remain the 3rd most popular browser by the end of 2027?
Jan 11, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
71.69%chance
9169
OptionVotes
265
113
Will Edge remain the 3rd most popular browser by the end of 2026?
Jan 11, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.32%chance
1179
OptionVotes
215
166
Will anyone help me find an edge forecasting World Yoyo competition by question close.
Aug 2, 8:55 AMAug 9, 8:52 AM
30.23%chance
574
OptionVotes
152
66
Will Edge Esmeralda have greater attendance YoY every year until 2030?
Oct 19, 4:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
33.93%chance
455
OptionVotes
140
72
Will the US require hardware security features on cutting-edge chips by 2028?
Apr 28, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
61.26%chance
453
OptionVotes
120
63
Before 2043, will a leading-edge process node feature a new transistor design fewer than 10 years after its invention?
Jun 5, 10:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
56.97%chance
250
OptionVotes
106
73
Will anyone help me find an edge forecasting Zambian elections by question close.
Aug 2, 9:01 AMAug 9, 8:59 AM
36.46%chance
232
OptionVotes
132
76