Emergency Use Authorizations News
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Prediction markets for Emergency Use Authorizations
Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?
Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM
19947448
OptionProbability
77
15
5
3
Will FDA approve any type of personalized cancer mRNA vaccines before 2028?
Feb 21, 8:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
42.41%chance
212670
OptionVotes
1316
365
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any strain of influenza before 2028?
Feb 21, 8:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
78.19%chance
131518
OptionVotes
1343
833
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against malaria before 2028?
Feb 21, 8:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
17.22%chance
15708
OptionVotes
782
243
OptionVotes
657
333
Universal Coronavirus Vaccine released in the US by 2030?
Jun 13, 12:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
7.47%chance
8318
OptionVotes
352
28
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against Lyme disease before 2028?
Feb 21, 8:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
26.19%chance
12258
OptionVotes
550
473
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against small-cell lung carcinoma before 2028?
Feb 21, 8:29 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
21.43%chance
4205
OptionVotes
357
286
Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2028?
Apr 20, 9:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27%chance
12159
OptionVotes
118
36
Will anyone sucessfully redteam creation of smallpox before 2028?
Nov 30, 11:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.18%chance
6135
OptionVotes
212
47
Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2030?
Apr 20, 9:40 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
65%chance
679
OptionVotes
93
83
OptionVotes
104
96
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