Emergency Use Authorizations News
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Prediction markets for Emergency Use Authorizations
Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?
Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM
19544914
OptionProbability
68
23
7
3
OptionProbability
57
37
32
14
12
10
8
Will FDA approve any type of personalized cancer mRNA vaccines before 2028?
Feb 21, 8:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
42.41%chance
212670
OptionVotes
1316
365
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any strain of influenza before 2028?
Feb 21, 8:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
77.98%chance
11710
OptionVotes
1332
836
OptionVotes
657
333
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against glioblastoma before 2028?
Feb 21, 8:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
19.85%chance
6331
OptionVotes
614
236
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against Lyme disease before 2028?
Feb 21, 8:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.11%chance
11240
OptionVotes
532
479
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against non-small-cell lung carcinoma before 2028?
Feb 21, 8:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
44.64%chance
9196
OptionVotes
377
309
Will transformer architectures lose their dominant position in deep learning before 2028?
Jan 20, 9:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.84%chance
6155
OptionVotes
240
42
Will FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2030?
Apr 20, 9:40 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
67.24%chance
574
OptionVotes
99
80
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against esophageal adenocarcinoma before 2028?
Feb 21, 8:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
32.51%chance
440
OptionVotes
370
305
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against prostate adenocarcinoma before 2028?
Feb 21, 8:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
41.2%chance
211
OptionVotes
299
283
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