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Prediction markets for EU
[ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
Jan 6, 10:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.42%chance
238056
OptionVotes
5412
3201
Will the iPhone be sold in the EU with a user-replaceable battery by 2027?
Jun 16, 7:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.7%chance
646012
OptionVotes
1193
513
[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?
Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.51%chance
215857
OptionVotes
5765
4833
Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?
May 19, 2:41 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM
22.43%chance
193648
OptionVotes
2117
1093
Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030
Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
25.05%chance
52982
OptionVotes
3409
1209
OptionVotes
1724
580
Will there be an EU convention to amend the treaties during the 2024-2029 legislative period?
May 18, 2:57 PMJun 9, 9:59 PM
44.92%chance
71533
OptionVotes
1584
1422
[ACX 2026] How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?
Jan 6, 11:55 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM
91145
OptionProbability
36
22
17
11
8
5
OptionVotes
1080
792
OptionVotes
1013
987
Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?
Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM
31.41%chance
16398
OptionVotes
1021
930
New Switzerland-EU package deal ("bilaterals III") passes referendum?
Dec 14, 9:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56%chance
4172
OptionVotes
1128
886
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