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Prediction markets for EU
Will the iPhone be sold in the EU with a user-replaceable battery by 2027?
Jun 16, 7:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.7%chance
646012
OptionVotes
1193
513
Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?
May 19, 2:41 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM
24.13%chance
183523
OptionVotes
1992
1131
Will the US Government issue a statement criticising the Code of Practice of the EU AI Act in 2025?
May 16, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:21 PM
67.04%chance
303185
OptionVotes
2582
1615
OptionVotes
2277
439
Will there be an EU convention to amend the treaties during the 2024-2029 legislative period?
May 18, 2:57 PMJun 9, 9:59 PM
44.92%chance
71533
OptionVotes
1584
1422
Will the EU require virtual currency purchases to display real-money equivalents within a year?
Sep 12, 2:35 AMSep 11, 9:59 PM
21.09%chance
7890
OptionVotes
1333
86
OptionVotes
1029
889
OptionVotes
1117
798
Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?
Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM
31.41%chance
16398
OptionVotes
1021
930
Will the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2025?
Dec 7, 2:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
48.05%chance
6338
OptionVotes
1040
962
Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030
Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
47.04%chance
3170
OptionVotes
2061
1942
Will I be eligible for an EU Youth Mobility visa before I turn 30?
Feb 21, 10:51 AMFeb 25, 11:59 PM
47.09%chance
260
OptionVotes
1060
943
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