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Iran’s Abbas Araghchi Rejects Concessions as Ali Larijani Considers NPT Withdrawal Ahead of European Snapback Sanctions Talks

1 year ago

Will Antoine Greizmann play a competitive match for Orlando City before EOY 2026

Feb 24, 6:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

99%chance

814888

OptionVotes

YES

9950

101

EU or UK citizen granted US asylum for anti-immigration views by end of 2028?

Oct 16, 4:09 PMJan 1, 4:58 PM

38.26%chance

71542

OptionVotes

YES

1270

787

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

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43.68%chance

281402

OptionVotes

YES

1162

901

Next Commission president from Eastern Europe?

May 20, 2:16 AMDec 30, 3:04 AM

28.83%chance

5949

OptionVotes

YES

1571

636

Will generative artificial intelligence be banned in at least one G7 country by the end of 2026?

Jul 29, 2:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.94%chance

15732

OptionVotes

YES

239

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?

Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.7%chance

15616

OptionVotes

YES

1403

713

Will any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027?

Jul 10, 1:54 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

14.31%chance

19601

OptionVotes

YES

1148

940

Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040?

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33.2%chance

19556

OptionVotes

YES

1058

850

Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027?

Apr 1, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

8261

OptionVotes

YES

200

Will Ingvar Carlsson live to 100?

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36.07%chance

6198

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YES

133

Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027?

Feb 9, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.17%chance

8193

OptionVotes

YES

269

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

48.12%chance

4157

OptionVotes

YES

1091

1011

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Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Middle East
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Iran’s Abbas Araghchi Rejects Concessions as Ali Larijani Considers NPT Withdrawal Ahead of European Snapback Sanctions Talks
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1 year ago

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Will Antoine Greizmann play a competitive match for Orlando City before EOY 2026

EU or UK citizen granted US asylum for anti-immigration views by end of 2028?

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Next Commission president from Eastern Europe?

Will generative artificial intelligence be banned in at least one G7 country by the end of 2026?

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?

Will any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027?

Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040?

Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027?

Will Ingvar Carlsson live to 100?

Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027?

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

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