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Prediction markets for European parties
EU or UK citizen granted US asylum for anti-immigration views by end of 2028?
Oct 16, 4:09 PMJan 1, 4:58 PM
38.26%chance
71542
OptionVotes
1270
787
OptionVotes
1207
867
OptionProbability
38
31
29
2
0
Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?
May 20, 8:13 AMMar 19, 11:59 PM
13.04%chance
14975
OptionVotes
258
39
OptionVotes
1572
636
Next Danish Election: Which pairs of parties will govern together or be in opposition together [read description]
Mar 19, 8:54 PMJan 11, 7:59 AM
6636
OptionProbability
80
76
57
54
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
28
26
24
21
19
9
Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?
Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.7%chance
15616
OptionVotes
1403
713
OptionVotes
1058
850
Will Antoine Greizmann play a competitive match for Orlando City before EOY 2026
Feb 24, 6:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
39.32%chance
2255
OptionVotes
1242
805
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
50.47%chance
3107
OptionVotes
1059
1041
Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?
Apr 7, 9:47 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM
66.34%chance
687
OptionVotes
235
140
How many seats will Tisza party win in 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Mar 14, 8:41 PMApr 12, 9:59 PM
140
OptionProbability
18
16
15
14
6
6
6
6
6
6
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