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Top stories

YouTube Launches Global ‘Hype’ Button to Boost Small Creators

YouTube Launches Global ‘Hype’ Button to Boost Small Creators

Authors

5

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Explore

Will Luffy’s & Roger’s shared dream somehow relate to exploring space?

May 4, 7:28 PMMay 4, 9:59 PM

22.96%chance

362012

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1389

834

By 2028 end, will there be AI-assisted therapy, where therapists visually explore a patient's thoughts/memories?

Jul 5, 4:15 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

16.92%chance

401789

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

988

Will any lawmakers use the threat of AI to justify funding space exploration before 2026?

Apr 22, 5:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.08%chance

17700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

918

Will the majority of developed nations prioritize funding for longevity research over space exploration by 2035?

Jun 29, 5:49 AMJul 7, 4:59 AM

46.25%chance

10344

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

928

Will any country, region or municipal government explore the possibility of becoming a fully-fledged futarchy?

Apr 18, 1:49 PMDec 30, 4:00 PM

49.22%chance

12184

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

947

Will "In favour of exploring nagging doubts about x..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jul 5, 5:42 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.46%chance

2149

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

753

How much percentage of ocean will be explore by human physically in end of 2025 ?

Apr 5, 8:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6127

OptionProbability

Under 10%

10-15 %

15-20 %

Above 20 %

81

7

7

4

Will "Gender Exploration" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

May 17, 6:53 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.33%chance

252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

992

By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch?

Aug 10, 10:32 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

150

OptionProbability

2028-12-31

2030-12-31

2028-09-30

50

50

43

Will a space mission focused on the investigation and exploration of Jupiter's moon Io be approved before 2030?

Apr 1, 1:57 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

41.81%chance

646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

127

Will "Explore More: A Bag of Tricks to Keep Your Li..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Oct 2, 6:59 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

17%chance

133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1033

821

Will the OceanGate cofounder's other company explore Dean's Blue Hole and resurface without injuring anyone by EOY 2026?

Jun 20, 5:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.86%chance

26

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Software
Tech
YouTube Launches Global ‘Hype’ Button to Boost Small Creators
Authors
5
3 months ago

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