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Prediction markets for Explore
Will Luffy’s & Roger’s shared dream somehow relate to exploring space?
May 4, 7:28 PMMay 4, 9:59 PM
22.51%chance
361988
OptionVotes
1413
827
By 2028 end, will there be AI-assisted therapy, where therapists visually explore a patient's thoughts/memories?
Jul 5, 4:15 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM
17.09%chance
391779
OptionVotes
1030
990
Will any lawmakers use the threat of AI to justify funding space exploration before 2026?
Apr 22, 5:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
24.26%chance
16500
OptionVotes
995
975
Will the majority of developed nations prioritize funding for longevity research over space exploration by 2035?
Jun 29, 5:49 AMJul 7, 4:59 AM
46.25%chance
10344
OptionVotes
1078
928
Will any country, region or municipal government explore the possibility of becoming a fully-fledged futarchy?
Apr 18, 1:49 PMDec 30, 4:00 PM
49.22%chance
12184
OptionVotes
1045
947
Will "In favour of exploring nagging doubts about x..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Jul 5, 5:42 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
18.46%chance
2149
OptionVotes
1047
753
Will any video games be based on exploring the interior of a computer chip/GPU/SSD as a world in and of itself by 2028?
Jun 23, 12:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
69.94%chance
392
OptionVotes
153
66
Will space exploration and commercialization be among the fastest growing fields through 2030?
May 8, 6:03 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
71.61%chance
574
OptionVotes
177
98
Will "Gender Exploration" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
May 17, 6:53 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
13.33%chance
252
OptionVotes
1050
992
OptionProbability
50
50
43
Will a space mission focused on the investigation and exploration of Jupiter's moon Io be approved before 2030?
Apr 1, 1:57 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM
41.81%chance
646
OptionVotes
131
127
Will "Explore More: A Bag of Tricks to Keep Your Li..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Oct 2, 6:59 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
17%chance
133
OptionVotes
1033
821
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