Faithful News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Faithful
OptionProbability
93
90
88
85
85
83
78
72
70
68
67
66
65
65
64
62
59
56
55
53
52
52
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
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32
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13
11
10
10
10
10
10
9
8
8
8
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
5241
191
Faith Kipyegon breaks 4 in the mile before December 1, 2025?
Jun 4, 2:27 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM
4.79%chance
171717
OptionVotes
446
22
Sam Harris will confess faith in Jesus Christ as Lord before 2042
Aug 17, 6:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
4.96%chance
191581
OptionVotes
1773
900
Is the biblical depiction of the mark during the apocalyptic times a faithful representation of what appears to be ...
Jan 12, 11:11 AMJan 12, 9:59 PM
3.23%chance
131191
OptionVotes
1785
907
Will any member of the Manifold community in good standing default in bad faith on a mana loan?
Apr 14, 3:54 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
55.23%chance
12706
OptionVotes
186
141
Will anyone on Twitter make a credible claim that I am arguing for something in bad faith by the end of 2025?
Dec 8, 6:09 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
18.96%chance
7155
OptionVotes
227
118
Will "Transformer Circuit Faithfulness Metrics Are ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Oct 9, 1:23 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
12.72%chance
1100
OptionVotes
1100
985
Will "Transformer Circuit Faithfulness Metrics Are ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Oct 9, 1:23 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
13.33%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
992
Will anyone on Twitter make a credible claim that @CarsonGale is arguing for something in bad faith by the end of 2025?
Dec 12, 11:30 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
24%chance
349
OptionVotes
137
65
OptionProbability
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5