Fall 2025 News
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Prediction markets for Fall 2025
OptionVotes
17739
1192
Will Bitcoin go below $30,000 before reaching a new all time high?
Jan 30, 2:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36.44%chance
147890
OptionVotes
1321
757
Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?
Feb 4, 5:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
58.12%chance
113096
OptionVotes
2211
1833
OptionVotes
1451
853
If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?
Jan 8, 12:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.48%chance
241978
OptionVotes
1324
871
Will California be in a drought at end of August 2026?
Jan 1, 8:54 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM
66.29%chance
131740
OptionVotes
1402
713
Will I conclude my life is better 1 year from now than it was at time of market creation?
Aug 21, 2:43 PMAug 21, 2:39 PM
67.92%chance
221527
OptionVotes
1455
687
Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%?
Jun 6, 3:04 PMDec 6, 3:00 PM
21%chance
131323
OptionVotes
1940
516
Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026?
Dec 23, 10:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17%chance
12985
OptionVotes
1679
802
What will happen after President Zelensky signs bill №12414 into law?
Jul 23, 3:49 AMDec 31, 10:33 PM
8277
OptionProbability
100
100
57
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
61
34
32
24
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
17
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