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Top stories

U.S. Alcohol Consumption Hits 54% Record Low in 90 Years, Gallup Poll Shows 60% Gen Z Prefer Non-Alcoholic Drinks

U.S. Alcohol Consumption Hits 54% Record Low in 90 Years, Gallup Poll Shows 60% Gen Z Prefer Non-Alcoholic Drinks

Authors

14

7 months ago

Courts and Law Schools Tighten AI Guardrails After Fake Citations Spike

US Domestic Policy

Courts and Law Schools Tighten AI Guardrails After Fake Citations Spike

Authors

12

7 months ago

Verasight Poll Puts Democrats 51-49 Ahead on Generic Ballot

Verasight Poll Puts Democrats 51-49 Ahead on Generic Ballot

Authors

3

7 months ago

Gallup Poll Puts Zelensky Top in U.S. Favorability as Musk, Netanyahu Sink

Authors

3

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Gallup

What % of Americans will cite computers/technology as the US's top problem by Dec 31, 2026? (Gallup)

Jan 16, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2515681

OptionProbability

0.5-1%

1-1.5%

<0.5%

1.5-2%

2-3%

5-10%

3-4%

≥10%

4-5%

24

19

18

14

9

5

4

4

3

In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?

Mar 17, 7:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.16%chance

7913791

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1664

328

By when will 5% of Americans cite "advancement of computers/technology" as the US's biggest problem? (Gallup)

Feb 6, 9:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

171685

OptionProbability

Does not reach 5% before 2036

By end of 2030

By end of 2031

By end of 2032

By end of 2033

By end of 2034

By end of 2035

By end of 2029

By end of 2028

By end of 2027

By end of 2026

51

49

49

49

49

49

49

47

34

20

12

Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?

Oct 6, 7:32 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

30.52%chance

321505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1376

774

Will Americans' confidence in the Supreme Court decline in 2026, according to Gallup?

Jul 23, 4:43 PMJul 20, 10:59 PM

73.06%chance

16688

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

61

Will a quarter of Americans morally accept polygamy in 2026, according to Gallup?

Jul 29, 4:27 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

6.4%chance

13684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

382

26

Will abortion be more morally acceptable among Americans in 2026 than in 2025, according to Gallup?

Jul 29, 4:28 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

71.76%chance

17349

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159

63

Will Americans' overall confidence in US institutions decline in 2026, according to Gallup?

Jul 23, 4:40 PMJul 20, 10:59 PM

71.72%chance

10198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159

63

Will Americans' confidence in the presidency decline in 2026, according to Gallup?

Jul 23, 4:41 PMJul 20, 10:59 PM

78%chance

11192

OptionVotes

NO

YES

188

53

Will 5% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup?

Jan 1, 5:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.98%chance

5144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

53

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?

Nov 18, 4:35 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?

Nov 18, 5:06 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

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